Michael Foley

Forecast Systems Scientist

Current work and responsibilities

I lead a team which works to improve the processes by which gridded and text forecast products are created. The basis for this work is the Graphical Forecast Editor (GFE) software which is used by the Bureau's operational meterologists for public, marine and fire weather forecast production. We provide science and software development input into improved guidance, grid editing tools and natural language generation techniques used in the GFE.

Our recent focus has been to make forecast production more efficient, using verification and hindcast experiments to provide objective evidence for improvements to the forecast process.

Career background

Education
  • 1991: Sydney University, B. Sc. (Hons) (Pure Mathematics and Chemistry)
  • 1996: Oxford University, D. Phil. (Computational Chemistry)
  • 1998: Bureau of Meteorology, Grad. Dip. Met.
Professional Positions
  • 1998–2002: Meteorologist; Regional Forecasting Centre, Bureau of Meteorology, Darwin, Australia.
  • 2002–2006: Severe Weather Meteorologist; Bureau of Meteorology, Darwin, Australia.
  • 2006–2015: Forecast Systems Scientist; Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne/Darwin, Australia.
  • 2016–present: Forecast Systems Team Leader; Research and Development Branch, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia.

Selected Publications

  • Griffiths, D., Jack, H., Foley, M., Ioannou, I. and Liu, M. (2017) Advice for Automation of Forecasts: A Framework. Bureau Research Report 21
  • Foley, M., Cooper, S., Riley, P. and Bally, J. (2011) Australian approaches to probabilistic precipitation forecasting. 24th AMS Conference on Weather and Forecasting, Seattle, WA. Extended Abstract 6A.1.
  • Bowman, D. M. J. S., Dingle, J. K., Johnson, F. H., Parry, D. and Foley M. (2007) Seasonal Patterns in Biomass Smoke Pollution and the Mid 20th Century: Transition from Aboriginal to European Fire Management in Northern Australia, Global Ecology and Biogeography, 16, 246.
Michael-Foley-photo

Michael Foley

Expertise:
  • Forecast Process Development
  • Forecast Production Software
  • Tropical Meteorology
  • Verification