Introduction (Chair: Bertrand Timbal) | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09:00 - 09:05 | Bertrand Timbal Bureau of Meteorology | Acknowledgement of Country |
| 09:05 - 09:15 | Andrew Johnson Bureau of Meteorology | Workshop opening |
| 09:15 - 09:55 | Gilbert Brunet Bureau of Meteorology | Keynote: Toward Weather and Climate Earth-system Prediction and Insigh |
| 09:55 - 10:15 | Mika Peace Bureau of Meteorology | Coupled fire-atmosphere modelling of extreme fire events   |
| Break (10:15 - 10:30) | ||
Bushfires (Chair: Graham Hawke) | ||
| 10:30 - 10:45 | Jeff Kepert Bureau of Meteorology | A fast, physically based scheme for predicting long-range ember transport in bushfire plumes |
| 10:45 - 11:00 | Paul Fox-Hughes Bureau of Meteorology | The Australian Fire Danger Rating System: Achievements and Challenges |
| 11:00 - 11:15 | Agnes Lane Bureau of Meteorology | The Bureau's engagement in national and international satellite activities to support planning, response and recovery for bushfires |
| 11:15 - 11:30 | Andrew Dowdy Bureau of Meteorology | Multi-week to seasonal fire weather prediction and customer applications for the 2020/21 summer |
| 11:30 - 12:10 | Pep Canadell CSIRO | Keynote: Multi-decadal increase of forest burned area in Australia linked to climate change |
| Break (12:10 - 13:30) | ||
Tropical Cyclones (Chair:Jeff Kepert) | ||
| 13:30 - 13:45 | Kevin Tory Bureau of Meteorology | Tropical cyclone formation regions in CMIP5 models: A global performance assessment and projected changes |
| 13:45 - 14:00 | Joe Courtney Bureau of Meteorology | (Non-)intervention strategies for tropical cyclone forecasting |
| 14:00 - 14:15 | Rabi Rivett Bureau of Meteorology | Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting Using Super Ensembles |
| Break (14:15 - 14:30) | ||
High Impact Weather and Climate (Chair: Rob Warren) | ||
| 14:30 - 14:45 | Chris Lucas Bureau of Meteorology | Ensemble Modelling of Volcanic Ash in the VAAC |
| 14:45 - 15:00 | Francois Delage Bureau of Meteorology | Impact of global warming and ENSO on seasonal rainfall extremes |
| 15:00 - 15:15 | Surendra Rauniyar Bureau of Meteorology | Victorian rainfall: past, present and future |
| 15:15 - 15:30 | Lisa Alexander UNSW | Intercomparison of rainfall extremes in global in situ, space-based and reanalysis products |
| 15:30 - 15:45 | Cat de Burgh-Day Bureau of Meteorology | Introduction to Gather Town |
| Social Break and E-poster session (15:30 - 17:20) | ||
| 17:20 - 18:00 | Joanne Robbins Met Office | Keynote: Progress in impact-based forecasting across timescales: from impact data to risk forecasts (Chair: Debbie Hudson) |
| Ice Breaker at Gather Town (18:00 - 20:00) | ||
Data assimilation (Chair: Chris Tingwell) | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09:00 - 09:40 | Peter Bauer ECMWF | Keynote: The role of data assimilation for creating Digital Twins of the Earth system |
| 09:40 - 09:55 | Peter Steinle Bureau of Meteorology | Data Assimilation for the Bureau's Operational Systems: Aims and Challenges |
| 09:55 - 10:10 | Fiona Smith Bureau of Meteorology | Status and recent advances in assimilation of satellite data in Bureau weather prediction models |
| 10:10 - 10:25 | Pavel Sakov Bureau of Meteorology | Development of AOM2/EnKF ocean forecasting system |
| Break (10:25 - 10:40) | ||
| 10:40 - 11:20 | Thomas Auligne UCAR | Keynote: The Joint Effort for Data assimilation Integration (JEDI) (Chair: Peter Steinle) |
Convective Hazards (Chair: Harald Richter) | ||
| 11:20 - 11:35 | Alain Protat Bureau of Meteorology | Radar rainfall, wind, and hail analysis and nowcasting developments at BoM |
| 11:35 - 11:50 | Claire Vincent University of Melbourne | Variability, clouds and extreme rain in the Maritime Continent |
| 11:50 - 12:05 | Joshua Soderholm Bureau of Meteorology | Conventional and experimental analysis of the 19 Jan 2020 Melbourne hailstorm - what can we learn for future nowcasting services |
| Break (12:05 - 13:00) | ||
| 13:00 - 13:40 | Jason Lee Kai Wei National University of Singapore | Keynote: Heat on human health and work productivity--heat strain over heat stress (Chair: Harald Richter) |
Observations (Chair: Diana Greenslade) | ||
| 13:40 - 13:55 | Shane Keating UNSW | The Surface Water Ocean Topography (SWOT) satellite mission: Challenges and opportunities |
| 13:55 - 14:10 | Ryan Lowe University of Western Australia | Enhancing Australia network of coastal wave observations using low cost wave buoys |
| 14:10 - 14:25 | Leon Majewski Bureau of Meteorology | Himawari for detecting and predicting severe weather |
| 14:25 - 14:40 | David Gooding Bureau of Meteorology | Opportunities from Non-traditional observations |
| 14:40 - 15:20 | Michelle Heupel University of Tasmania | Keynote: The role of Australia's Integrated Marine Observing System in understanding our future oceans (Chair: Diana Greenslade) |
| Social Break and E-poster session (15:20 - 16:00) | ||
High Performance Computing (Chair: Tim Pugh) | ||
| 16:00 - 16:15 | Justin Freeman Bureau of Meteorology | Cloud HPC |
| 16:15 - 16:30 | Steve Gillard AWS | Scaling research on the cloud with AWS HPC and data sharing |
| 16:30 - 16:45 | Gregory Ayers Monash University | ACCESS-NRI: what it is, what was proposed, and why |
| 16:45 - 17:00 | Ilene Carpenter HPE | HPE in weather and climate |
| Break (17:00 - 17:20) | ||
| 17:20 - 18:00 | Sonia Seneviratne ETH Zurich | Keynote: Climate change and extreme events: Why every year matters (Chair: Beth Ebert) |
| 09:00 - 09:40 | Andy Brown ECMWF | Keynote: Integrated environmental prediction: ECMWF progress and plans (Chair: Gilbert Brunet) |
High resolution modelling (Chair: Eric Schulz) | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09:40 - 09:55 | Charmaine Franklin Bureau of Meteorology | Towards improving weather prediction through high resolution modelling systems |
| 09:55 - 10:10 | Hongyan Zhu Bureau of Meteorology | A case study of a tropical Low over Northern Australia using high resolution mode |
| 10:10 - 10:25 | Dean Sgarbossa Bureau of Meteorology | Using high resolution NWP in forecasting impacts of severe weather |
| Break (10:25 - 10:40) | ||
| 10:40 - 11:20 | Mike Flannigan University of Alberta | Keynote: Global Fire Weather Trends (Chair: Paul Fox-Hughes ) |
Coupled seasonal modelling (Chair: Cat de Burgh-Day) | ||
| 11:20 - 11:35 | Oscar Alves Bureau of Meteorology | Indo-Pacific PEG |
| 11:35 - 11:50 | Chen Li Monash University | The importance of model mean state biases - a perspective on tropical teleconnections |
| 11:50 - 12:05 | Tim Cowan Monash University | Forecasting northern Australian wet season bursts in ACCESS-S1 |
| Break (12:05 - 13:30) | ||
| 13:30 - 14:10 | Talei Parker Data Lab | Keynote: Balancing the value of integrated data and privacy in today's data economy (Chair: Carla Mooney) |
Ensemble forecasts (Chair: Hongyan Zhu) | ||
| 14:10 - 14:25 | Shaun Cooper Bureau of Meteorology | City Ensemble: Uncertainty information in high resolution NWP |
| 14:25 - 14:40 | Tom Gale Bureau of Meteorology | IMPROVER post-processing of NWP ensemble |
| 14:40 - 14:55 | Alberto Meucci University of Melbourne | Projected 21st century changes in extreme wind-wave events predicted by an ensemble of global ocean wave climate models |
| Break (14:55 - 15:10) | ||
Water and climate (Chair: Tony Hirst) | ||
| 15:10 - 15:25 | Andrew Frost Bureau of Meteorology | Work underway in the R2O water modelling team |
| 15:25 - 15:40 | QJ Wang University of Melbourne | Forecasting water availability and demand to inform water use and management |
| 15:40 - 15:55 | Simon Marsland CSIRO | The ACCESS contributions to CMIP6 |
| 15:55 - 16:10 | Paul Sandery CSIRO | Coupled data assimilation in the CSIRO CAFE system |
| Social Break and E-poster session (16:10 - 17:20) | ||
| 17:20 - 18:00 | Humphrey Lean Met Office | Keynote: Progress with km scale and sub-km scale modelling for high impact weather and climate at the Met Office (Chair: Charmaine Franklin) |
Weather and climate impacts (Chair: Matt Wheeler) | ||
|---|---|---|
| 09:00 - 09:40 | Tim Palmer Oxford University | Keynote: A vision for numerical weather prediction in 2030 |
| 09:40 - 09:55 | Harry Hendon Bureau of Meteorology | Long Lead Prediction of the 2019 Climate Extremes |
| 09:55 - 10:10 | Pandora Hope Bureau of Meteorology | Event Attribution with S2S systems |
| 10:10 - 10:25 | Chelsea Jarvis University of Southern Queensland | Climate Mates: Connecting the BOM and Graziers in northern Australia |
| Break (10:25 - 10:40) | ||
Weather and climate impacts (Chair: Carla Mooney ) | ||
| 10:40 - 11:20 | Julia Chasco Argentina National Meteorological Service | Keynote: Placing the user at the heart of innovative early warning services |
| 11:20 - 11:35 | Mitchell Black Bureau of Meteorology | Using extreme/compound events in risk assessments an example from the Electricity Sector Climate Information (ESCI) project |
| 11:35 - 11:50 | Steve Siems Bureau of Meteorology | Observations of Precipitation over the Southern Ocean |
| 11:50 - 12:05 | Robert Taggart Bureau of Meteorology | Forecasting the extremes: automation or manual intervention for high end rainfall event |
| Break (12:05 - 13:30) | ||
Weather and climate impacts (Chair: Andrew Dowdy) | ||
| 13:30 - 14:10 | Nerilie Abram Australian National University | Keynote: Connections of climate change and variability to large and extreme forest fires in southeast Australia |
| 14:10 - 14:25 | Neelesh Rampal NIWA | Machine Learning for Imbalanced Data Lightning and Drought Forecasting |
| 14:25 - 14:40 | Mandi Thran UNSW | Developing a multi-scale early warning system for Australia’s coastal flooding and erosion hazards |
| 14:40 - 14:55 | Hanh Nguyen Bureau of Meteorology | Understanding flash droughts and their predictability |
| Break (14:55 - 15:10) | ||
Future Services (Chair: Deryn Griffiths) | ||
| 15:10 - 15:25 | Michael Foley Bureau of Meteorology | New capability for forecast verification |
| 15:25 - 15:40 | Narendra Tuteja Bureau of Meteorology | Hydrology Science Plan of the Bureau of Meteorology--prioritization process and potential future directions |
| 15:40 - 15:55 | John Sharples Bureau of Meteorology | National GFE: How Research is supporting the move to national production |
| 15:55 - 16:10 | Baden Hall Bureau of Meteorology | Enabling Better Decisions |
| Social Break and E-poster session(16:10- 17:10) | ||
| 17:10 - 17:50 | Paul Davies Met Office | Keynote: Impact forecasting and warnings - what are the next steps (Chair: Beth Ebert) |
| 17:50 - 18:00 | Bertrand Timbal Bureau of Meteorology | Workshop closing |
