South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE

High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 29 April 2016

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Gale Warning 2 issued 290601UTC:
Area bounded by 35S121E 36S130E 44S142E 50S144E 50S131E 42S113E 35S121E.

Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge [1] 29S153E to high [1] 1029hPa near 38S167E to 38S170E near stationary.

Ridge [2] from high [1] 1029hPa near 38S167E to 45S170E near stationary.

Ridge [3] 50S160E 44S164E 45S170E. Forecast 50S169E 44S170E at 291800UTC and
east of area at 300600UTC.

Cold front [1] 50S139E 46S141E 39S141E then weakening by 291800UTC.

Cold front [2] approaching from the west forecast 33S124E 37S129E 46S136E to
low 973 hPa near 49S132E at 291800UTC and 33S132E 39S137E to low 912hPa near
50S137E at 300600UTC.

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 120nm of ridges and 240nm of highs:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell
increasing to moderate south of 43S.

Remainder north of ridge [1]:
E quarter winds 10/20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.

Remainder, outside warning areas:
N quarter winds shifting SE quarter south of ridge [3] and W quarter west of
cold front [2]. Clockwise winds within 180nm of low. Wind speeds 20/30 knots
grading to 20/33 knots within 120nm of warning areas with rough to very rough
seas. Moderate to heavy swell decreasing to low to moderate from Bass Strait
east to ridge [2].

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 240nm of
fronts. Isolated showers away from ridges. Visibility reducing below 2nm in
precipitation.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 21:00 UTC Friday.