South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast


High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 25 November 2015

Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Gale Warning 1 issued 251841UTC:
Area A: Bounded by 42S152E 38S152E 35S156E 38S160E 50S160E 50S158E 47S155E
Area B: Bounded by 39S146E 36S152E 40S154E 41S151E 41S149E 39S146E.

New Zealand Storm Warning 405 issued 251738UTC:
AT 251800UTC, over waters east of 160E.
1. In a belt 240 nautical miles wide centred on a line 45S162E 49S166E 54S171E:
Northwest 35kt rising to 50kt next 6-12 hours. Storm area slow moving.
2. Outside area 1 and in a belt 480 nautical miles wide centred on a line
33S152E 48S163E 55S172E: Northwest 35kt. Gale area moving southeast 35kt.

Part 2 Situation at 1800 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge [1] 35S129E 33S135E. Forecast 36S129E 34S132E 34S138E at 260600UTC and
36S129E 34S134E 35S155E 36S161E at 261800UTC.

Ridge [2] 28S159E 33S170E 43S170E. Forecast 28S163E 32S170E at 260600UTC and
28S165E 31S170E at 261800UTC.

Cold front 37S147E 43S153E 50S158E. Forecast 33S152E 35S156E 38S159E 50S164E at
260600UTC and 28S154E to low 1007 hPa near 31S155E to 35S162E 41S168E 44S170E
at 261800UTC.

Trough 35S148E 41S152E, merging with cold front after 260300UTC.

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 180nm of ridges and remainder north of ridges:
Variable winds below 20 knots, tending SE quarter 10/20 knots north of ridge
[1] west of 152E. Slight to moderate seas. Moderate swell increasing to
moderate to heavy near ridge [1].

Remainder east of cold front, outside warning areas:
N quarter winds tending NW quarter within 360nm east of front and shifting W
quarter between cold front and trough. Wind speeds 15/25 knots grading to 25/33
knots within 120nm of warning areas. Wind speeds increasing to 20/30 knots
southwest of a line 28S154E 40S167E 45S170E, contracting to within 240nm east
of front south of 36S after 261200UTC. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate
swell increasing to moderate to heavy within 90nm east of front south of 38S.

Remainder west of cold front outside warning area:
SW quarter winds becoming W quarter after 260600UTC. Winds tending S quarter
north of ridge [1] east of 152E, turning clockwise within 120nm of low. Wind
speeds 20/30 knots grading to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning area.
Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 180nm of cold front and
trough. Scattered to isolated showers remainder west of cold front and south of
ridge [1]. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.


The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Thursday.