South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE

High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 24 May 2016

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Storm Force Wind Warning 6 issued 240607UTC:
Area bounded by 43S109E 37S118E 36S126E 42S134E 50S137E 50S110E 43S109E.

Melbourne Gale Warning 7 issued 240642UTC:
Area bounded by 45S150E 37S150E 34S156E 34S160E 41S160E 41S158E 45S152E
45S150E.

New Zealand Gale Warning 556 issued at 240600UTC:
Over waters east of 160E.
In a belt 480nm wide centred on a line 37S160E 37S168E 41S175E:
Westerly 35kt. Gale area slow moving.

Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge 38S142E 50S144E. Forecast 38S146E 50S147E at 241800UTC and 28S155E
38S150E 50S149E at 250600UTC.

Cold front [1] 28S164E 35S173E 39S172E 42S168E to low [1] 983hPa near 41S158E,
east of area by 241800UTC.

Trough 44S153E to low 983hPa near 41S158E. Forecast 36S162E to low 985hPa near
42S171E at 241800UTC, east of area by 250600UTC.

Low [3] 983hPa near 49S167E, slow moving.

Cold front [2] approaching from west, forecast 33S129E 39S135E 45S136E 50S133E
at 241800UTC and 31S129E 37S139E 42S143E 46S143E 50S141E at 250600UTC.

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 120nm of ridge:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Remainder east of ridge, outside warning areas:
W quarter winds tending SW quarter west of low [1] and also south of 40S.
Clockwise winds within 300nm of lows. Wind speeds 20/30 knots grading to 25/33
knots within 120nm of warning areas. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy
swell.

Remainder east of front [2], outside warning area:
N quarter winds 20/33 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Remainder to west, outside warning area:
W quarter winds 20/33 knots moderating to 15/25 knots by 250000UTC. Moderate to
rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 300nm of lows
and cold fronts. Scattered showers remainder south of 40S away from ridge.
Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 21:00 UTC Tuesday.