South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE

High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 27 July 2016

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Storm Force Wind Warning 4 issued 270608UTC:
Area bounded by 41S141E 37S152E 37S160E 46S160E 49S160E 50S150E 50S137E 41S141E.

Melbourne Gale Warning 1 issued 270605UTC:
Area bounded by 40S093E 46S130E 48S136E 50S136E 50S120E 46S101E 40S093E.

Melbourne Gale Warning 5 issued 270605UTC:
Area bounded by 49S120E 46S121E 46S134E 39S149E 39S158E 44S157E 50S146E 49S120E.

New Zealand Gale Warning 603 issued 270702UTC:
AT 270600UTC over waters east of 160E.
In a belt 240 nautical miles wide centred on a line 40S160E 40S164E 42S166E:
Northwest 35kt at times.
Gale area moving eastsoutheast 40kt.

New Zealand Gale Warning 604 issued 270702UTC:
AT 270600UTC over waters east of 160E.
Front 44S162E 48S163E 51S161E 55S160E moving southeast 25kt.
1. Within 180 nautical miles west of front: Westerly 35kt easing next 6 hours.
2. Within 300 nautical miles east of front from 51S161E to 55S160E: Northwest
35kt easing next 6 hours.
3. Within 300 nautical miles east of front from 44S162E to 51S161E: Westerly
35kt easing next 6-12 hours.
Gale areas moving with front.

New Zealand Gale Warning 605 issued 270702UTC:
AT 270600UTC over waters east of 160E.
In an area bounded by 45S160E 34S160E 37S163E 45S162E 45S160E: Westerly 35kt
developing next 6-12 hours.

Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge 32S129E 32S142E and near stationary.

Front [1] 33S150E 44S161E 50S162E. Forecast 33S165E 40S170E at 271800UTC and
east of area by 272100UTC.

Front [2] 40S141E 45S146E to low 978 hPa near 49S147E. Forecast 38S161E 47S159E
to low 976 hPa near 49S156E at 271800UTC and 43S170E 45S166E to low 977 hPa
near 50S164E at 280600UTC.

Trough 28S158E 42S164E. Forecast 28S164E 33S165E at 271800UTC and east of area
by 272100UTC.

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 180nm of ridge:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.

Remainder east of front [1] outside warning areas:
NW quarter winds tending W quarter between front [1] and trough. Wind speeds
15/25 knots increasing to 20/30 knots south of 33S and grading to 25/33 knots
within 120nm of warning areas. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Remainder west of front [1] outside warning areas:

SW quarter winds tending NW quarter within 240nm east of front [2] and
clockwise within 90nm of low. W quarter winds west of 145E. Wind speeds 15/25
knots north of line 40S129E 37S140E and also north of 30S. Wind speeds
elsewhere 20/30 knots and grading to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning areas.
Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Areas of rain, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 180nm of
fronts and trough. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 21:00 UTC Wednesday.