South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE

High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 14 February 2016

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Gale Warning 2 issued 140702UTC:
Area bounded by 43S147E 44S151E 48S160E 50S160E 50S152E 48S152E 46S146E 43S147E.

Melbourne Gale Warning 3 issued 140702UTC:
Area bounded by 50S113E 48S113E 43S131E 40S142E 40S146E 43S148E 44S151E 50S152E
50S149E 46S149E 47S144E 50S144E 50S113E.

New Zealand Gale warning 196 issued 140600UTC:
In a belt 180 nautical miles wide centred on a line 45S164E 48S166E 51S168E:
Northwest 35kt at times. Gale area slow moving.

Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge [1] 31S153E 42S170E. Forecast 33S151E 39S170E at 141800UTC and 34S151E
40S170E at 150600UTC.

Ridge [2] 34S129E 38S154E. Forecast 34S129E 38S157E 44S161E at 141800UTC and
33S129E 34S142E 39S160E to high 1011 hPa near 47S164E to 49S170E at 150600UTC.

Cold front [1] 34S151E 38S156E 43S157E 50S161E. Forecast 35S155E 39S160E
50S166E at 141800UTC and 41S162E 48S170E at 150600UTC.

Cold front/trough [2] 44S129E 47S129E 50S126E. Forecast 40S136E 44S140E 47S140E
to low 977 hPa near 50S138E at 141800UTC and 40S144E 46S149E 49S150E to low 977
hPa near 51S147E at 150600UTC.

43S129E 47S129E 50S126E. Forecast 40S136E 44S140E 47S140E 50S138E at 141800UTC
and 40S144E 46S149E 49S150E 51S147E at 150600UTC.

Trough [1] 30S167E 29S162E 28S161E. Forecast 28S160E 30S163E 30S165E at
141800UTC and 28S161E 30S163E 32S166E at 150600UTC.

Trough [2] 42S150E 46S151E 50S151E. Forecast 48S158E 50S158E at 141800UTC and
weakened by 150600UTC.

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 180nm of ridges and 240nm of high:
Variable winds below 20 knots with slight to moderate seas. Winds tending S
quarter 15/25 knots along ridge [2] east of 145E with moderate to rough seas
easing 10/20 knots by 141800UTC with seas abating. Low to moderate swell east
of 145E increasing to moderate to heavy swell west of 145E.

Remainder north of ridge [1]:
E quarter winds 15/25 knots tending SE quarter west of trough [1] and
increasing to 25/33 knots within 240nm west of trough [1]. Low to moderate
swell increasing moderate to heavy east of 155E north of 30S.

Remainder east of cold front [1] and south of ridge [1] outside warning area:
N quarter 15/25 knots increasing to 20/30 knots within 480nm east of cold front
in area south of 42S and 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning area. Moderate to
rough seas. Moderate swell increasing moderate to heavy swell west of 160E.

Remainder west of cold front [1], outside warning areas:
W quarter 20/30 knots tending NW quarter east of trough [2] and within 300nm
east of cold front [2]. Winds becoming clockwise within 420nm of low. Wind
speeds grading to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning areas. Moderate to rough
seas. Moderate to heavy swell increasing to heavy swell west of 150E.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 240nm of cold
fronts and troughs. Isolated showers remainder away from ridges becoming
scattered south of ridges. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Sunday.