IDY10210
SECURITE
High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10
SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO
50S129E TO COAST AT 129E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 24 January 2025
Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Storm Force Wind Warning 1.
Melbourne Gale Warning 2.
Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Trough 29S154E 31S157E 34S159E to low 994hPa near 37S158E. Forecast trough
26S161E 30S169E 33S171E to low 994hPa 37S168E at 251200UTC
Cold front [1] near 43S153E 47S155E 50S155E. Forecast exiting east of area near
44S157E 50S160E at 241200UTC.
Cold front [2] near 46S129E 50S137E at 240600UTC. Forecast cold front near
41S152E 50S165E at 251200UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.
South of line 46S160E 43S148E 44S129E, outside of warning areas:
Northwesterly quarter winds 25/33 knots within 300nm east of cold front [1],
shifting westerly quarter west of cold front [1] and turning southwesterly
quarter west of cold front [2]. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell,
increasing to moderate to heavy swell.
Within 300nm of low except for southeastern quadrant, outside of warning areas:
Clockwise winds within 360nm of low in all quadrants then all quadrants except
southeastern by 250300UTC. Wind speeds 25/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas.
Low to moderate swell.
Remainder:
Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell
increasing to moderate to heavy south of line 43S148E 40S139E 41S129E.
Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 240nm of
low and within 180nm of cold fronts. Becoming heavy at times within 180nm of
eastern semicircle of low. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.
Please be aware
Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger
than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum
waves can be twice the forecast height.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Friday.
