South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE

High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 22 July 2016

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Storm Force Wind Warning 2 issued 221851UTC:
Area bounded by 47S135E 42S136E 38S141E 32S155E 33S160E 50S160E 50S143E 47S135E.

Melbourne Gale Warning 4 issued 221900UTC:
Area bounded by 43S160E 50S160E 50S152E 45S155E 43S160E.

Melbourne Gale Warning 5 issued 221835UTC:
Area bounded by 33S133E 38S135E 50S121E 50S108E 46S104E 33S133E.

New Zealand Storm Warning 506 issued 221800UTC:
Over waters east of 160E.
Low 949hPa near 55S160E moving eastsoutheast 15kt.
1. In a belt 240 nautical miles wide centred on a line 48S156E 47S164E 50S167E:
Clockwise 50kt. Storm area moving southeast 25kt.
2. Outside area 1 and within 660 nautical miles of low in northern semicircle:
Clockwise 35kt. Gale area moving eastsoutheast 15kt.
3. Outside areas 1 and 2 and within 420 nautical miles of low in southern
semicircle: Clockwise 35kt. Gale area moving eastsoutheast 15kt.

New Zealand Gale Warning 510 issued 221800UTC:
Over waters east of 160E.
In an area bounded by 31S160E 31S165E 34S170E 38S172E 41S171E 40S164E 41S160E
31S160E: Northwest 40kt developing next 6-12 hours.

New Zealand Gale Warning 511 issued 221800UTC:
In an area bounded by 44S163E 40S163E 40S166E 43S169E 45S167E 44S163E:
Northerly 40kt easing next 6 hours.
Gale area slow moving.

Part 2 Situation at 1800 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Cold front [1] 34S138E 39S145E to low [1] 975 hPa near 47S148E to 50S147E.
Forecast 29S152E 31S157E 36S162E 40S163E 42S158E to low [1] 956 hPa near
50S152E at 230600UTC and 28S159E 30S166E 35S173E 40S176E to low [2] 964 hPa
near 45S167E to low [1] 969 hPa near 46S159E to 50S157E at 231800UTC

Cold front [2] forecast 33S121E 36S124E 40S127E to low [3] 993 hPa near 46S124E
to 50S124E at 230600UTC and 29S128E 33S133E 38S135E to low 993 hPa near 44S130E
to 50S130E at 231800UTC.

Ridge [1] developing near 32S123E 38S127E 50S129E. Forecast 33S136E 46S134E
50S135E at 230600UTC and 50S145E 45S140E 37S145E at 231800UTC.

Ridge [2] forecast 42S168E to high 980 hpa near 44S164E to 46S160E at 230600UTC
and 48S170E 49S163E at 231800UTC.

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 120nm of ridges and 180nm of high:
Variable winds below 20 knots with slight to moderate seas, tending W quarter
15/25 knots with moderate to rough seas near ridge [1]. Moderate to heavy swell.

Remainder east of ridge [1] outside warning areas:
SW quarter winds tending NW quarter east of cold front [1] and clockwise within
180nm of low [1] and 90nm of low [2]. Wind speeds 20/30 knots, increasing to
25/33 knot within 120nm of warning areas. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to
heavy swell.

Remainder west of ridge [1] outside warning area:
NW quarter winds tending SW quarter west of cold front [2] and clockwise within
120nm of low [3]. Wind speeds 15/25 knots, increasing to 20/30 knots west of
cold front [2]. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate swell.

Scattered showers, isolated thunderstorms, areas of rain within 240nm of cold
fronts and troughs. Isolated to scattered showers remainder. Visibility
reducing below 2nm in precipitation.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 09:00 UTC Saturday.