South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE
 
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology Bureau National Operations Centre
FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 2300 UTC 22 OCTOBER 2014
 
PLEASE BE AWARE 
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum
waves may be up to twice the height.

 
Part 1 Warnings
New Zealand Gale Warning 380 issued 221800UTC:
Over waters east of 160E.
Front 44S157E 47S162E 53S165E 58S165E associated with 
a Low 975hPa near 59S164E all moving ENE 35kt.
1. Within 300 nautical miles east of front from 47S162E to 58S165E: Northwest
35kt.
2. Outside area 1 and within 720 nautical miles southwest of front: Southwest
35kt.
Gale areas moving with low.

Melbourne Gale Warning 1 issued 221808UTC:
Area bounded by 47S160E 50S160E 50S150E 47S155E 47S160E.
 
Part 2 Situation at 1800 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge [1] 28S155E to high [1] 1023 hPa near 37S160E to 38S170E, forecast
28S156E 30S158E to high [1] 1022 hPa near 36S159E to 36S170E at 230600UTC
and 28S157E to high [1] 1023 hPa near 35S158E to 34S170E at 231800UTC.

Ridge [2] 32S129E 42S133E to high [2] 1026 hPa near 44S138E 45S145E 44S150E,
forecast 31S129E 43S136E 46S143E to high [2] 1027 hPa near 45S149E to 42S160E
at 230600UTC and 37S134E 44S140E to high [2] 1028 hPa near 43S156E to 40S165E at
231800UTC

Ridge [3] from high [2] near 44S138E to 50S140E, forecast 
from high [2] near 45S149E to 50S149E at 230600UTC 
and from high [2] near 43S156E to 50S156E at 231800UTC.

Trough/cold front [1] 38S149E 44S157E 50S164E, forecast 
36S150E 40S162E 45S170E at 230600UTC and 36S164E 38S170E at 231800UTC.

Cold front [2] west of area, forecast 34S125E to low 1004 hPa near 
43S128E 50S131E at 231800UTC.
 
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 180nm of ridges and 240nm of highs:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell,
moderate south of 40S.

Remainder east of ridge [1]:
S quarter winds 10/20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Moderate swell.

Remainder east of trough/front [1]:
N quarter winds 15/25 knots north of 40S, tending NW quarter 20/30 knots 
south of 40S and grading to 25/33 knots south of 46S. Moderate to rough seas.
Low to
Moderate swell increasing to heavy south of 45S.

Remainder west of trough/cold front [1]:
SW quarter winds 20/30 knots east of ridge [3] tending W quarter and easing 
15/25 knots within 240 nm of ridge [3], tending NW quarter 15/25 knots 
remainder west of ridge [3] strengthening to 20/30 knots south of 47S.
Winds becoming clockwise within 180nm of low and shifting SW quarter west
of cold front [2]. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell increasing 
to heavy swell south of 40S.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 240nm of
trough/front [1] and 240nm of cold front [2]. Isolated showers remainder 
south of 40S away from ridges. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.
 
WEATHER MELBOURNE
 
The next routine forecast will be issued at 0800  UTC 23 October 2014