South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE

High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 29 March 2015

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Gale Warning 1 issued 291815UTC:
Area bounded by 47S143E 47S147E 50S155E 50S140E 47S143E.

New Zealand Gale Warning 559 issued 291756UTC:
At 291800UTC. Over waters east of 160E.
Front 49S156E 56S160E 61S159E moving east southeast 15kt.
1. Within 180 nautical miles east of front: Northwest 35kt developing next 6
hours.
2. Within 120 nautical miles west of front from 49S156E to 56S160E: Westerly
35kt developing next 6-12 hours. Gale areas moving with front.

Part 2 Situation at 1800 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge 34S129E 38S151E to high 1024 hPa near 34S157E to 32S170E. Ridge moving
slowly south and forecast 36S129E 39S149E to high 1026 hPa near 37S157E to
32S170E at 301800UTC.

Cold front [1] 42S159E 45S164E 50S166E, forecast 41S167E 44S169E 50S170E at
300600UTC, then moving east of area.

Cold front [2] 46S129E 48S142E 50S146E, forecast 47S146E 48S158E 50S161E at
300600UTC and 47S166E 50S173E at 301800UTC.

Trough developing west of area and forecast 33S122E 43S125E to low 981 hPa near
51S131E at 301800UTC.

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 120nm of ridge, 240nm of high and remainder north of ridge:
Variable winds below 20 knots becoming SE quarter 10/20 knots east of 160E.
Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell increasing to moderate east of
160E.

Remainder south of ridge, outside warning area:
W quarter winds 15/25 knots, increasing to 20/30 knots south of 43S and grading
to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning areas. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate
to heavy swell, decreasing to low to moderate north of 41S.

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 300nm of cold fronts and
west of cold front [2]. Scattered showers within 240nm of Australian coastline
north of 34S. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Monday.