IDY10210
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA 28S/50S, 129E/170E.
ISSUED BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL AND OCEANOGRAPHIC
CENTRE
FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 15 FEBRUARY 2012
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum
waves may be up to twice the height.
Part 1 Warnings
Nil
Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.
Trough [1] 28S165E 35S173E to low [1] 1014 hPa near 40S169E to 45S167E. Forecast
30S165E 35S170E to low [1] 1014 hPa near 39S169E to 45S166E at 151800UTC and
35S170E to low [1] 1016 hPa near 38S168E to 32S165E at 160600UTC.
Ridge [1] 34S151E to high [1] 1025 hPa near 43S148E to 48S162E 48S170E. Forecast
33S152E to high [1] 1024 hPa near 42S159E to 48S165E 48S170E at 151800UTC and
30S153E to high 1024 hPa near 43S162E to 44S170E at 160600UTC.
Trough [2] 36S140E to low [2] 1007 hPa near 42S137E. Forecast 37S143E 46S142E at
151800UTC and 37S148E 42S148E at 160600UTC.
Cold front 44S130E 50S136E. Forecast 46S141E 50S143E at 151800UTC and 42S148E
46S150E 50S150E at 160600UTC.
Ridge [2] 35S129E 36S139E. Forecast from high [2] 1017 hPa near 36S130E to
36S139E at 151800UTC and 37S132E 40S136E 45S131E at 160600UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.
Within 120nm of ridges and 240nm of highs:
Variable winds to 15 knots. Light to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.
Remainder northeast of ridge [1]:
Southerly quarter winds turning northeasterly quarter east of trough [1] and
clockwise within 180nm of low. Wind speeds 10/20 knots increasing 15/25 knots
within 180nm of low. Moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.
Remainder southwest of ridge [1] and east of trough [2] and front:
Northerly quarter winds turning clockwise within 180nm of low [2]. Wind speeds
15/25 increasing 20/30 knots within 240nm east of front. Moderate seas rising
moderate to rough within 240nm east of front. Moderate swell.
Remainder west of trough [2] and front:
Westerly quarter winds becoming more southwesterly quarter west of cold front.
Winds turning clockwise within 180nm of low [2] and southeasterly north of ridge
[2]. Wind speeds 10/20 knots north of 45S increasing 15/25 knots south of 45S.
Moderate seas rising moderate to rough south of 45S. Moderate swell.
Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 240nm of trough
[1]/low [1] and within 240nm of cold front. Isolated showers and thunderstorms
within 240nm of trough [2]/low [2]. Visibility reducing below 2nm in
precipitation.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
