South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE
 
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology Bureau National Operations Centre
FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 30 OCTOBER 2014
 
PLEASE BE AWARE 
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum
waves may be up to twice the height.

 
Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Final Gale Warning 1 issued 300604UTC:
Area bounded by 48S151E 48S155E 50S157E 50S146E 48S151E.

Melbourne Gale Warning 3 issued 300611UTC:
Area bounded by 50S119E 46S118E 43S132E 45S133E 50S131E 50S119E.

New Zealand Gale Warning 577 issued 300555UTC:
Over waters east of 160E.
In an area bounded by 48S160E 48S165E 53S165E 54S160E 48S160E: Westerly 35kt at
times.
Gale area slow moving.
 
Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Ridge 33S129E 37S139E 38S151E to high 1018 hPa near 32S163E to 30S170E at
300600UTC and 31S137E 38S144E 38S152E to high 1019 hPa near 31S165E to 30S170E
at 301800UTC and 37S145E 39S151E to high 1020 hPa near 31S170E at 310600UTC.

Trough approaching far west of area, forecast 31S129E 40S133E at 301800UTC and
32S136E 40S140E at 310600UTC.

Cold front [1] approaching far west of area, forecast 43S129E to low 989 hPa
near 46S133E to warm front 46S138E 45S146E at 301800UTC and 33S129E 38S134E
44S138E to low 976 hPa near 48S138E to warm front 48S154E at 310600UTC.

Cold front [2] near 40S155E 42S160E 48S170E, forecast east of area by 301800UTC.

 
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 180nm of ridge and 240nm of high:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Moderate swell.

Remainder north of ridge:
NE quarter winds 10/20 knots reaching 15/25 knots west of 155E. Slight to
moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.

Remainder south of ridge and east of cold front, outside warning areas:
N quarter winds 15/25 knots within 600nm east of trough, becoming NW quarter
within 720nm east of cold front [1] and shifting W quarter 15/25 knots within
240nm west of trough. Clockwise winds 15/25 knots within 240nm of low. N quarter
winds 15/25 knots north of 42S west of 140E and area south of warm front. W
quarter 15/25 knots elsewhere increasing to 20/30 knots south of 45S. Wind
speeds increasing to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning areas. Moderate to
rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Remainder west of cold front, outside warning area:
SW quarter winds 25/33 knots, becoming clockwise 15/25 knots within 240nm of
low. Rough seas. Moderate swell.

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 180nm of cold fronts and
trough. Scattered to isolated showers remainder south of ridge. Visibility
reducing below 2nm in precipitation.
 
WEATHER MELBOURNE
 
The next routine forecast will be issued at 2000  UTC 30 October 2014