IDY10210
SECURITE
High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 28 February 2015
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Gale Warning 1 issued at 280648UTC:
Area bounded by 50S093E 43S110E 45S132E 50S137E 50S093E.
Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.
Ridge [1] 28S154E 34S160E 37S165E 38S170E, slow-moving. Forecast 28S155E
32S158E 37S164E 40S170E at 010600UTC.
Ridge [2] 38S123E 44S129E 50S134E. Forecast from high 1019 hPa near 36S127E to
42S134E 50S138E at 281800UTC and 35S129E to high 1019 hPa near 38S135E to
41S141E 50S144E at 010600UTC.
Cold front [1] 34S139E 38S142E 44S144E to low 991 hPa near 46S142E 50S141E .
Forecast 36S149E 40S151E 48S153E to low 989 hPa near 52S150E at 281800UTC and
30S150E 37S155E 44S158E 50S160E to low 989 hPa near 53S156E at 010600UTC.
Trough 40S135E 45S140E. Forecast 44S146E 49S151E at 281800UTC and 43S154E
50S157E at 010600UTC.
Cold front [2] forecast near 45S120E 50S125E at 281800UTC and 44S128E 50S135E
at 010600UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.
Within 180nm of ridges and 240nm of high:
Variable winds below 20 knots, slight to moderate seas tending SW quarter 10/20
knots near ridge [2] south from 40S. Low to moderate swell increasing to
moderate near ridge [2].
Remainder east of ridge [1]:
E quarter winds 15/25 knots, reaching 20/30 knots at times east of 167E after
010001UTC. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell.
Remainder east of front [1]:
Clockwise winds within 300nm of low. N quarter winds tending NE quarter south
of 47S till 010001UTC. Wind speeds 20/30 knots, increasing to 25/33 knots
within 120nm east of front [1] south from 45S. Moderate to rough seas. Low to
moderate swell.
Remainder west of ridge [2] outside warning area:
NW quarter winds tending W quarter west of front [2]. Wind speeds 20/30 knots
grading to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning area. Moderate to rough seas.
Moderate swell, increasing to heavy west of front [2].
Remainder west of front [1]:
Clockwise winds 20/30 knots within 300nm of low. S quarter winds 15/25 knots
west of 140E north from 40S. SW quarter winds 20/30 knots elsewhere, tending
W/NW east of trough. Winds speeds increasing to 25/33 knots at times within
180nm west of front [1]. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate swell.
Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms east of ridge [1],
within 240nm of cold front and low and 180nm of trough. Isolated showers
elsewhere away from ridges. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Saturday.
