South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE
 
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology Bureau National Operations Centre
FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 01 NOVEMBER 2014
 
PLEASE BE AWARE 
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum
waves may be up to twice the height.

 
Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Gale Warning 3 issued 010623UTC:
Area bounded by 50S140E 41S140E 37S150E 36S154E 37S160E 45S160E 45S159E 50S154E
50S140E.

New Zealand Gale Warning 010 issued 010600UTC:
Over waters east of 160E.
In a belt 240 nautical miles wide centred on a line 36S158E 47S165E 50S171E:
Northwest 35kt. Gale area moving ENE 10kt.

 
Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Ridge [1] 28S166E 33S173E. Forecast 28S168E 32S177E at 011800UTC and 020600UTC.

Ridge [2] 34S129E 33S135E. Forecast 32S139E to high 1025hPa near 37S132E to
50S133E at 011800UTC and 34S141E to high 1025hPa near 38S138E to 50S139E at
020600UTC.

Cold front 35S151E 39S156E 50S161E. Forecast 28S153E 38S162E 47S166E 50S170E at
011800UTC and 25S152E 32S164E 37S168E 47S172E at 020600UTC.

Low 971hPa near 49S149E. Forecast low 973hPa near 47S153E at 011800UTC and low
981hPa near 46S160E at 020600UTC.


 
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 180nm of ridges and 240nm of high:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell along ridge
[1], moderate to heavy remainder.

Remainder east of front, outside warning area:
N quarter winds 20/30 knots grading to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning area.
Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Remainder west of front and east of ridge [2], outside warning area:
W quarter winds tending SW quarter within 720nm east of ridge [2] and clockwise
within 240nm of low. Wind speeds 20/30 knots grading to 25/33 knots within 120nm
of warning area. Rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Remainder west of ridge [2]:
N quarter winds tending NW quarter south of 40S. Wind speeds 15/25 knots
reaching 30 knots in far southwest after 020001UTC. Moderate to rough seas.
Moderate to heavy swell.

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 180nm of front. Scattered
showers remainder west of front. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.
 
WEATHER MELBOURNE
 
The next routine forecast will be issued at 2000  UTC 01 November 2014