South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE
 
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology National Meteorological and Oceanographic
Centre
FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 16 APRIL 2014
 
PLEASE BE AWARE 
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum
waves may be up to twice the height.

 
Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Storm Force Wind Warning 1 issued 160652UTC:
Area [1] bounded by 50S087E 42S094E 39S115E 40S127E 50S143E 50S087E.
Area [2] bounded by 50S080E 46S080E 46S101E 50S107E 50S080E.

New Zealand Storm Warning 384 issued 160600UTC:
Low 993hPa near 31S 167E moving south southeast 35kt.
1. Within 360 nautical miles of low in sector from north through east to
southwest: Clockwise 35kt rising to 50kt next 6-12 hours. Storm and gale areas
moving south southeast 35kt.
2. Outside area 1 and within 300 nautical miles of low in sector from southwest
through northwest to north: Clockwise 35kt rising to 45kt next 6-12 hours. Gale
area moving south southeast 35kt.
3. Outside areas 1 and 2 and in a belt 180 nautical miles wide centred on a line
42S 175E 40S 173E 39S 170E: Southeast 35kt developing next 6 hours. Gale area
then moving southeast 35kt.

New Zealand Gale Warning 389 issued 160600UTC:
Over waters east of 160E.
In a belt 180 nautical miles wide centred on a line 47S 167E 45S 163E 43S 160E:
Southeast 40kt.
Gale area moving south 5kt.
This warning cancels and replaces warning 380.


 
Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge 38S147E 44S150E 50S160E, Forecast near 38S148E 44S151E 50S160E at
161800UTC and near 8S149E 46S153E 50S160E at 170600UTC.

Trough near 28S166E to low 994 hPa near 31S167E to 40S165E, forecast near
28S171E to low 984 hPa near 37S169E to 39S162E at 161800UTC and near 28S170E to
low 973 hPa near 38S168E at 170600UTC.

Cold front 33S129E 40S138E 50S140E at 160600UTC and 38S139E 50S147E at 161800UTC
and then weakening.
 
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 180nm of ridge and north of 38S west of ridge:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Moderate swell.

East of trough, outside warning areas:
N quarter winds tending clockwise within 420nm of low. Wind speeds 15/25 knots
tending 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning areas. Moderate to rough seas.
Moderate swell.

Remainder east of ridge outside warning areas:
SE quarter winds tending SW quarter north of 37S and clockwise within 420nm of
low. Wind speeds 15/25 knots increasing to 20/30 knots east of 153E away from
ridge and grading to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning areas. Moderate to
rough seas. Moderate swell, increasing to heavy swell within 300nm in southern
semicircle of low after 170001UTC.

Remainder west of ridge outside warning area:
N/NW winds, tending W quarter west of front, north of 40S. Wind speeds 15/25
knots increasing to 20/30 knots south of 40S and grading to 25/33 knots within
120nm of warning area. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 420nm of low.
Scattered showers remainder away from ridge and within 180nm of front.
Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.
 
WEATHER MELBOURNE
 
The next routine forecast will be issued at 2200  UTC 16 April 2014