South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast


High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 1 December 2015

Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne FINAL Gale Warning 3 issued 011819UTC:
Area bounded by: 43S145E 43S149E 44S148E 45S145E 43S145E.

Part 2 Situation at 1800 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge [1] 34S170E 28S158E, forecast 34S170E 28S162E at 021800UTC.

Ridge [2] from high 1025 hPa near 36S129E to 34S140E, forecast 36S129E to high
1028 hPa near 36S134E to 36S141E at 020600UTC and 40S129E to high 1027 hPa near
36S140E at 021800UTC.

Ridge [3] 47S150E 50S153E, weakening by 020001UTC.

Trough 50S143E to low [2] 1003 hPa near 45S147E to 46S148E 40S149E, forecast
45S157E to low [1] 994 hPa near 50S157E at 020006UTC and weakened at 021800UTC.

Cold front 32S152E 37S155E 43S157E to low [1] 999 hPa near 46S151E, forecast
29S153E 34S158E 39S160E 45S162E 50S161E at 020600UTC and 28S115E 33S162E
46S167E 50S169E at 021800UTC.

Warm front [1] 50S135E 45S135E, forecast 45S145E 50S145E at 020600UTC and
44S154E 50S155E at 021800UTC.

Warm front [2] from low 999 hPa near 46S151E 50S167E, moving south of the area
by 020001UTC.

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 180nm of ridges and remainder N of ridge [1]:
Variable winds below 20 knots tending NE quarter 10/20 knots along and north of
ridge [1]. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell becoming moderate to heavy swell
along ridge [2].

Remainder north of ridge [2]:
E quarter winds 15/25 knots, moderate to rough seas, moderate to heavy swell.

Remainder east of cold front and warm front [2]:
N quarter winds 15/25 knots increasing to 20/30 knots 300nm east of cold front
and warm front [2]. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate swell.

Remainder, outside warning area:
W quarter winds tending clockwise within 360nm of low [1] and 120nm of low [2];
SW quarter remainder north of 40S and within 600nm east of cold front.
Clockwise winds contracting to within 240nm of low [1] by 020600UTC.
Winds shifting E quarter south of warm front [2] [east of trough] and NW
quarter within 120nm east of warm front [1] and 120nm east of trough. Wind
speeds 15/25 knots increasing to 20/30 south of 40S and remainder east of 145E,
grading to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning area. Moderate to rough seas.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 180nm of
troughs, 240nm of fronts and low [1] and 180nm of low[2]. Scattered showers
remainder south of 40S. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.


The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Wednesday.