Notes on the Weather for Victoria

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Notes on the Weather
Issued at 4:30 pm EDT on Friday 27 November 2015.

Recent Events
Showers were reported across southern and mountain districts of Victoria
yesterday with most of the activity contracting to the coast by this morning.
Most rainfall totals were 3mm or less. The maximum rainfall amount was 9mm at
Willow Grove, 8mm at Mount Baw Baw and 7mm at Mount Sabine and Tanjil South.

Overnight minimum temperatures were mostly well below the November average with
most locations away from the immediate coast between 4 and 10 degrees below
normal. Temperatures ranged between 0 and 8 degrees. The lowest temperature was
-6 degree recorded at Mt Hotham Airport which was the coldest night recorded in
November there since records began in 2000, whilst in contrast the highest
overnight temperature was 10 degrees recorded at Wilsons Promontory, Frankston
and Cape Otway. East Sale's minimum this morning of 1.1 degrees was the coldest
recorded there in November since records commenced in 1943.

Isolated showers were reported in southern Victoria today, mainly about
windward coasts. Skies were partly cloudy in the south, however mostly sunny
skies prevailed in the north. In the 6 hours to 3pm today the highest rainfall
totals were Warrnambool and Nullawarre with 2mm.

Maximum temperatures were generally between 2 to 7 degrees below the November
average, ranging mostly between 15 and 22 degrees. The highest temperature was
24 degrees recorded at Walpeup. In contrast the lowest daytime temperature was
2 degrees recorded at Mt Baw Baw.

In Melbourne the temperature ranged from a minimum of 9.0 degrees at 6:15am to
a maximum of 18.2 degrees at 3:07pm. Coldstream recorded a minimum of just 0.1
degrees this morning which was the lowest since records commenced in 1994 so
late in the year. Just 0.4mm of rain was recorded in the 24 hours to 9am today
with no further rainfall to 3pm this afternoon.

Explanatory Notes
A weak ridge of high pressure will persist over Victoria during this weekend.
Isolated showers are likely near the western and central coast Saturday with
light to moderate southerly winds. Clearer skies will prevail inland and
temperatures will be close to average. A weak upper trough will cause showers
to extend over most of Victoria on and south of the ranges during Sunday. Fine
and mostly sunny weather will continue in the north.

By Monday winds will begin to tend warmer northerly and freshen as a cold front
approaches from the west with fine and mostly sunny weather through the day.
Isolated showers will develop near the western border late evening as the front
reaches the west of the State. The front will cross the State during Tuesday
with warm to hot and fresh to strong northerly wind shifting cooler southwest.
Showers are likely on and south of the ranges with the chance of isolated
thunderstorms. Showers will contract to the east and the southwest coast
midweek in a moderating southwest airstream. The next high will cross the State
Thursday and become established in the Tasman Sea Friday with temperatures
rising as mild southerly flow is replaced by warmer northerlies. Conditions
should be fine and mostly sunny.