IDW10600 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology Western Australia Cocos (Keeling) Islands Forecast Issued at 5:30 am WST on Monday 8 February 2016 Weather Situation: The monsoon trough lies off to the north as a ridge to the south directs a moderate to fresh east to southeasterly flow over the Islands. Today a tropical low is expected to form within the monsoon trough to the northwest of the Islands. From Tuesday onwards, the risk of this low developing into a tropical cyclone increases as conditions become favourable for development. For more information, visit http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/index.shtml Forecast for the rest of Monday 8 February A shower or two possible from the afternoon, with the chance of a thunderstorm. Winds: East to northeasterly 5 to 10 knots. Seas: 0.5 to 1.0 metre. Swell: South to southwesterly 1.5 to 2.0 metres. Max 31 Forecast for Tuesday 9 February A few showers and the chance of a thunderstorm. Winds: East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots. Max 31 Outlook for Wednesday 10 February A few showers and the chance of a thunderstorm. Winds: East to northeasterly 10 to 15 knots. Max 31 The next routine forecast will be issued at 3:45 pm WST Monday.