Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

IDW10800

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Tuesday 17 January 2017
for the period until midnight WST Friday 20 January 2017.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:


The models generally agree in a weak tropical low moving into the far northwest of the region during Wednesday. The low is likely to move slowly southeasterly during Thursday and Friday. The models are consistent in not intensifying the system to tropical cyclone intensity.


The likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Wednesday:
Very Low
Thursday:
Very Low
Friday:
Very Low

There are no other significant lows in the Western Region at present and none are expected to develop over the next three days.


Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Region on:

Wednesday:
Very Low
Thursday:
Very Low
Friday:
Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/