Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

IDW10800

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 2:33 pm WST on Thursday 23 March 2017
for the period until midnight WST Sunday 26 March 2017.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

A 2pm WST Tropical Cyclone Caled was located near 12.6S 100.5E (about 400km east of the Cocos Islands). Please refer to the latest Tropical Cyclone Forecasts for more information [www.bom.gov.au/cyclone].

Likelihood of this system remaining a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Friday:
High
Saturday:
High
Sunday:
High

Potential Cyclones:


A tropical low was located over land near 20.6S 118.5E at 2pm WST (30 km southwest of Port Hedland) and expected to continue moving south and is not expected to intensify over land. A Severe Weather Warning is current for the system for the Pilbara district [www.bom.gov.au/wa/warnings/].

Another small tropical low was located near 15.0S 110.3E at 2pm WST (about 900km north northwest of Exmouth). The low has a small chance of reaching tropical cyclone intensity overnight Thursday or early Friday morning before weakening later Friday and Saturday.


Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Friday:
Low
Saturday:
Low
Sunday:
Low



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/