Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Friday 18 April 2014
for the period until midnight WST Monday 21 April 2014.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:


Potential Cyclones:  

At 1200 WST a low pressure system [16U] was located 510 kilometres west
northwest of the Cocos Islands, near 11.1S 92.3E and moving westwards at 11
kilometres an hour towards the boundary of the Western Region. The system may
develop into a tropical cyclone over the weekend west of 90E and is likely to
re-enter the Western Region late Sunday or during Monday. As the system is
likely to be west of 90E on Saturday, the likelihood has been reduced to
moderate even though this system may be a tropical cyclone.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Saturday        Moderate   
Sunday          High       
Monday          High       

There are no other significant lows in the Western Region and none are expected
to develop over the next three days.

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.