Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

IDW10800

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Monday 24 April 2017
for the period until midnight WST Thursday 27 April 2017.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:


There no significant tropical lows in the region and none are expected to develop during the next three days.

A tropical low, currently southwest of New Guinea, is forecast to track west southwest during the week. Later in the week it may move into the region and increase the risk of a tropical cyclone in the region.

A trough currently lies from well north of the Cocos Island to the well south of Christmas Island. A weak tropical low may develop in the trough north of the Cocos Islands over the next few days but is unlikely to develop further.


Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Tuesday:
Very Low.
Wednesday:
Very Low.
Thursday:
Very Low.



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/