Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

IDW10800

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Tuesday 21 February 2017
for the period until midnight WST Friday 24 February 2017.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:


A tropical low lies over open water in the Indian Ocean approximately 400km southeast of the Cocos Islands. Over the next few days the system will continue to move west and move west of the region during Thursday. It is not expected to develop into a tropical cyclone.

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred (19U) may move west over the northern Kimberley or Joseph Bonaparte Gulf on Friday or Saturday as a weak tropical low, however it is not expected to redevelop into a tropical cyclone.

There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to form within the next three days.


The likelihood of a system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Wednesday:
Very Low.
Thursday:
Very Low.
Friday:
Very Low.



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/