IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Tropical Cyclone Day Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:19 pm WST on Wednesday 11 December 2013
for the period until midnight WST Saturday 14 December 2013.
Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:
Nil.
Potential Cyclones:
The monsoon trough has become active in the region north of 10S near 105E,
which is north of Christmas Island. There are indications that a low may
develop in this area over the next couple of days and then move in a generally
WSW direction. Late Friday or Saturday the system could move into the region.
Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Thursday Very Low
Friday Very Low
Saturday Low
There are no other significant lows in the Western Region at present and none
are expected to develop over the next 3 days.
In the longer term models are picking the development of another low north of
Christmas Island on Sunday or early next week.
NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low: less than 5% Moderate: 20 to 50%
Low: 5% to 20% High: over 50%
The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.
