IDW10800 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology Western Australia Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region Issued at 1:51 pm WST on Monday 22 December 2014 for the period until midnight WST Thursday 25 December 2014. Existing Cyclones in the Western Region: Nil. Potential Cyclones: A weak tropical low lies in the monsoon trough near 8S 101E, about 600 kilometres northeast of the Cocos Islands. Over the next few days this system is expected to move towards the south into the Western Region, and then move towards the west, passing close to the Cocos Islands. Conditions become more favourable for development into a tropical cyclone later on Wednesday and into Thursday. This system will be closely monitored in coming days. Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on: Tuesday Very Low Wednesday Moderate Thursday Moderate There are no other systems expected to develop in the next three days. NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day. Very Low: less than 5% Moderate: 20 to 50% Low: 5% to 20% High: over 50% The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.