Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Friday 27 March 2015
for the period until midnight WST Monday 30 March 2015.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

At 1:00pm WST Friday the remnants of ex-Tropical Cyclone Nathan were located to
the north of the east Kimberley. Due to unfavourable environmental conditions
the system is unlikely to redevelop into a tropical cyclone. Although the
system is not expected to redevelop, winds on the southern side of the low are
forecast to be between 20 to 30 knots, and squally shower and thunderstorm
activity is expected near the system, particularly on the southern side. Heavy
rainfall is forecast for the west Pilbara, west Gascoyne and adjacent offshore
regions on Monday as the remaining moisture from the system moves over the
region and interacts with an upper level trough.

There are no other significant lows in the Western Region and none are expected
to develop in the next three days.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Saturday        Very Low   
Sunday          Very Low   
Monday          Very Low   



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.