IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:00pm WST on Sunday the 12th of February 2012
Valid until midnight WST Wednesday
Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
Nil.
Potential Cyclones:
At 10am WST Sunday a low 1007hpa was located near 11S 104E. The low is expected
to move steadily west over the next three days. It is not expected to develop
into a tropical cyclone during Monday but has a moderate chance of developing
into a cyclone on Tuesday or Wednesday, although it is expected to move west of
090E early on Wednesday. This system will not affect mainland communities. The
low may bring squally thunderstorms to Cocos Island on Monday, but gales are not
likely.
Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region:
Monday :Low
Tuesday :Moderate
Wednesday :Moderate
There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to
develop over the next three days.
NOTES: Development Potential is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low: less than 5% Low: 5% - 20%,
Moderate: 20% - 50% High: Over 50%
The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.
Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
