Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

IDW10800

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 2:30 pm WST on Sunday 25 September 2016
for the period until midnight WST Wednesday 28 September 2016.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:


A weak tropical low currently lies to the northwest of Christmas Island in an active monsoon trough. Although the low is unlikely to develop it could move towards Christmas Island during Tuesday and Wednesday bringing increased shower and thunderstorm activity together with heavy falls and gusty winds.

There are no other significant lows in the Western Region at present and none are expected to develop over the next three days.


Likelihood of a tropical cyclone being in the Western Region on:

Monday:
Very Low
Tuesday:
Very Low
Wednesday:
Very Low



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/