Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Thursday 27 November 2014
for the period until midnight WST Sunday 30 November 2014.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

There are no significant lows in the Western Region at present. A low is
forecast to develop near 4S 90E (which is just north of the west edge of the
Western Region) over the next couple of days. It is not expected to develop or
move into our region over the next couple of days, but there is a slight chance
it will develop and move into the region from Sunday.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Friday          Very Low   
Saturday        Very Low   
Sunday          Low        


There are no other significant lows in the Western Region at present and none
are expected to develop over the next three days.

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.