IDW10800 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology Western Australia Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region Issued at 1:56 pm WST on Sunday 21 December 2014 for the period until midnight WST Wednesday 24 December 2014. Existing Cyclones in the Western Region: Nil. Potential Cyclones: There are no tropical lows in the region, however the monsoon trough has strengthened north of 10S and west of 105E (west of Java). A low may develop along the trough near 100E and move south of 10S by midweek before tracking to the west. While it has limited potential for further development, this will be closely monitored in coming days. Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on: Monday Very Low Tuesday Very Low Wednesday Low There are no other systems expected to develop in the next three days. NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day. Very Low: less than 5% Moderate: 20 to 50% Low: 5% to 20% High: over 50% The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.