Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

IDW10800

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 1:29 pm WST on Monday 27 April 2015
for the period until midnight WST Thursday 30 April 2015.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:


A tropical low is developing to the south of Indonesia near 11.5S 115E, and is moving southwest. This low is currently weak but conditions are favourable for it to develop over the next few days. Conditions become rapidly unfavourable on Friday and so any development will be short-lived. The risk of this system becoming a tropical cyclone increases to Low from Wednesday. These ratings may be increased if the environment continues to be favourable.


Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Tuesday:
Very Low
Wednesday:
Low
Thursday:
Low

There are no other significant lows in the Western Region and none are forecast to develop over the next few days.



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/