Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 1:51 pm WST on Monday 22 December 2014
for the period until midnight WST Thursday 25 December 2014.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

A weak tropical low lies in the monsoon trough near 8S 101E, about 600
kilometres northeast of the Cocos Islands. Over the next few days this system
is expected to move towards the south into the Western Region, and then move
towards the west, passing close to the Cocos Islands. Conditions become more
favourable for development into a tropical cyclone later on Wednesday and into
Thursday. This system will be closely monitored in coming days.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Tuesday         Very Low   
Wednesday       Moderate   
Thursday        Moderate   


There are no other systems expected to develop in the next three days.

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.