Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Saturday 29 November 2014
for the period until midnight WST Tuesday 2 December 2014.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

There are no significant lows in the Western Region at present. A weak broad
low has formed near 7S 89E and is moving to the southwest. On Sunday and Monday
it is expected to start moving south then southeast and may enter the region on
Tuesday. There is a small chance the system intensifies during the Monday to
Wednesday period.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Sunday          Very Low   
Monday          Very Low   
Tuesday         Low        


There are no other significant lows in the Western Region at present and none
are expected to develop over the next three days.

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.