Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:14 pm WST on Thursday 17 April 2014
for the period until midnight WST Sunday 20 April 2014.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:


Potential Cyclones:  

At 1200 WST a low pressure system [16U] was located 325 kilometres west
northwest of the Cocos Islands, near 10.8S 94.2E and moving westwards at 17
kilometres an hour towards the boundary of the Western Region. The system may
develop into a tropical cyclone over the weekend west of 90E and is likely to
re-enter the Western Region late Sunday or during Monday. As the system is
likely to be west of 90E on Sunday, the likelihood has been reduced to moderate
even though this system may be a tropical cyclone.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Friday          Low        
Saturday        Moderate   
Sunday          High       

There are no other significant lows in the Western Region and none are expected
to develop over the next three days.

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.