Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 1:56 pm WST on Sunday 21 December 2014
for the period until midnight WST Wednesday 24 December 2014.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

There are no tropical lows in the region, however the monsoon trough has
strengthened north of 10S and west of 105E (west of Java). A low may develop
along the trough near 100E and move south of 10S by midweek before tracking to
the west. While it has limited potential for further development, this will be
closely monitored in coming days.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Monday          Very Low   
Tuesday         Very Low   
Wednesday       Low        


There are no other systems expected to develop in the next three days.

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.