Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

IDW10800

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Thursday 8 December 2016
for the period until midnight WST Sunday 11 December 2016.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:


A monsoon trough lies over central northern waters of the Western Region. A weak tropical low is situated within the trough in the vicinity 12.0S 113.0E. This low is forecast to track slowly westwards over the next few days and has only a slight chance of developing into a tropical cyclone. During this time, it is likely to remain over open waters and have no impact on the Western Australian coast.


Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Friday:
Very Low
Saturday:
Low
Sunday:
Low

There are no other tropical systems in the Western Region and none are expected to develop over the next three days.


Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Friday:
Very Low
Saturday:
Very Low
Sunday:
Very Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/