Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

IDW10800

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

Issued at 2:03 pm WST on Saturday 13 February 2016
for the period until midnight WST Tuesday 16 February 2016.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:


At 2pm WST a tropical low was located near 12.5S 094.8E, around 225 kilometres west of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands and moving southwest at 16 kilometres per hour.

This system is expected to continue to move away from the Cocos (Keeling) Islands and develop into a tropical cyclone later on Saturday. The system will continue to move southwest, and move out of the Western Region either late on Sunday or during Monday.

Refer to www.bom.gov.au/cyclone for the latest information.


Likelihood of this system becoming a tropical cyclone being in the Western Region on:

Sunday:
High
Monday:
Moderate
Tuesday:
Low

There is the chance that a tropical low will form to the south of Java over the next few days. There is a small chance of this system becoming a tropical cyclone on Monday and Tuesday as it moves southwards.


Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:

Sunday:
Very Low
Monday:
Low
Tuesday:
Low

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:
less than 5%
Low:
5% to 20%
Moderate:
20 to 50%
High:
Over 50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.

Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone/