IDW10800 Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology Western Australia Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Wednesday 23 April 2014 for the period until midnight WST Saturday 26 April 2014. Existing Cyclones in the Western Region: Nil. Potential Cyclones: A low that is currently located in the northern Arafura Sea is expected to move southwards and then westwards over the coming days. Refer also to the Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region [IDD10610] for more information about this low. The risk of a tropical cyclone may increase with this system possibly moving into the Western Region early next week. Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on: Thursday Very Low Friday Very Low Saturday Very Low NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day. Very Low: less than 5% Moderate: 20 to 50% Low: 5% to 20% High: over 50% The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and south of 10S.