Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region

IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 12:48 pm WST on Thursday 5 March 2015
for the period until midnight WST Sunday 8 March 2015.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

There are no significant lows in the Western Region at present and none are
expected to develop in the next three days. The weak low off the Pilbara coast
is poorly organised, has shown no intensification in the last 24 hours and
computer weather models indicate conditions are unfavourable for it to develop.

The likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region is likely to
increase during next week but at this stage there is no discernible threat to
communities.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Friday          Very Low   
Saturday        Very Low   
Sunday          Very Low   



NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.