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Adelaide: Outlook for 2021 Account

as at 1 February 2021

  • Rainfall is likely to be close to average during the 2020–21 year.
  • Inflows into the region's storages are expected to be higher than last year.


For further information on the outlook for the region during the 2020–21 year scroll down this page or click on the links below:

 

Current water levels

  • Rainfall was below average across the region during July 2020–January 2021.
  • Above-average rainfall during August–October 2020 resulted in a rise in storage levels during those months.
  • At 1 February 2021, storages were 54% full compared to 49% full at the same time last year.
  • More information on current storage levels in the region is available on the Bureau of Meteorology's Water Storage website.

 

Climate outlook

Map showing the chance of exceeding median rainfall for the Adelaide region for March–May 2021
Figure S9 Chance of exceeding median rainfall for the Adelaide region for February–April 2021

 

  • According to the Bureau of Meteorology's climate outlook (from 28 January 2021), rainfall is expected to be close to average during the next three months (February–April 2021).
  • The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently in a La Niña phase and is expected to persist until early autumn.
  • Total annual rainfall for 2020–21 is likely to be close to average and inflows into the region's storages are expected to be more than 2019–20.

 

Future commitments

  • Water use is expected to be similar to 2019–20. The expected increase in water availability across the region is not likely to be large enough to result in a significant change in water use compared to last year.