Seasonal Streamflow Forecasts

Skill scores for Tambo River at Swifts Creek


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Product list for Tambo River at Swifts Creek

Skill scores for Tambo River at Swifts Creek

About skill scores


  1. The hindcasts are generated using a leave five out cross validation.
  2. The forecast location name is displayed in the graph title. Site forecast locations are followed by the Australian Water Resources Council (AWRC) river station number in brackets e.g. (405219).
  3. The streamflow data for the cross validation is of "archive" quality obtained from the station owners.
  4. An explanation of the terms skill score , Root Mean Square Error in Probability (RMSEP), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) are provided under the FAQ.
  5. The RMSEP skill scores have been defined as less than 10 very low skill, 10-20 low skill, 20-40 moderate skill, greater than 40 high skill.
  6. Further explanation of some technical terms is provided under the FAQ.


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