IDY10220 SECURITE High Seas Forecast for Western METAREA 10 12S TO 30S BETWEEN 90E AND 125E, AND 30S TO 50S BETWEEN 80E AND 129E Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 6 February 2026 Part 1 Warnings Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected. Storm Force Wind Warning issued by TCWC Melbourne for Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell". Melbourne Gale Warning 3. Part 2 Situation at 061800 UTC Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell" 993hPa near 18.7S119.2E. Forecast Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell" 975hPa near 20.8S115.8E at 080000UTC. Cold front [1] 39S083E to low [2] 1008hPa near 45S091E. Forecast front [1] 43S108E to low [2] 990hPa exiting area to south near 50S110E at 071200UTC, and just cold front [1] 45S119E 50S122E at 080000UTC. Cold front [2] near 46S085E 50S086E. Forecast front [2] near 46S111E 50S114E at 080000UTC. Forecast cold front [3] approaching area from west near 46S075E 50S079E at 071200UTC, then front [3] near 45S085E 50S091E at 080000UTC. Trough near 37S078E 39S085E. Forecast slow moving. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather system. Within 240nm of Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell", outside warning area: Clockwise winds 20/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas. Low to moderate swell. East of line 21S101E 29S101E 34S113E: Southerly quarter winds. Wind speeds 20/30 knots. Rough seas. Low to moderate swell. South of line 39S084E 46S117E, outside warning areas: Westerly quarter winds shifting northwesterly quarter within 420nm east of fronts [1] and [3], and southwesterly quarter within 300nm west of front [2]. Winds turning clockwise within 120nm of low [2]. Wind speeds 20/33 knots within 420nm of features, decreasing below 25 knots elsewhere. Rough to very rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Remainder: Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell. Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 180nm of fronts, low, cyclone and trough. Heavy at times within 120nm of Tropical Cyclone "Mitchell". Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation. Please be aware Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height. WEATHER MELBOURNE The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Saturday.