Arafura Coast Forecast: Cape Don to Cape Wessel

View the current warnings for the Northern Territory

Forecast updated at 4:50 pm CST on Wednesday 19 November 2025.

Weather Situation

A trough extends across the Timor and Arafura Sea from Tropical Cyclone Fina northeast of the Tiwi Islands. Tropical Cyclone Fina is expected to move eastwards overnight and then turn towards the northwest coast of the Top End from Thursday.

Tropical System Location

At 3:30 pm CST Tropical Cyclone Fina was located about 205 nautical miles north northeast of Darwin and 100 nautical miles north of Minjilang. Centre located near 9.5S 132.6E. Recent movement has been towards the east at 5 knots.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Gale Warning for Wednesday for Arafura Coast

Winds
Offshore west of Maningrida: winds above 34 knots possible depending on movement and development of Tropical Cyclone Fina. Elsewhere east to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots.
Waves
Offshore west of Maningrida: Seas and swell exceeding 4m. Elsewhere: Seas 1 to 1.5 metres. Swells Northwesterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Thursday 20 November

Gale Warning for Thursday for Arafura Coast

Winds
Offshore west of Maningrida: above 34 knots expected due to Tropical Cyclone Fina. Elsewhere east to northeasterly 15 to 25 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots in the morning.
Waves
Offshore west of Maningrida: Seas and swell exceeding 4m. Elsewhere: Seas 1.5 to 2.5 metres. Swells Northwesterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Friday 21 November

Winds
Above 48 knots possible depending on movement and development of Tropical Cyclone Fina.
Waves
Seas and swell exceeding 6m.
Weather
Cloudy. 90% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Saturday 22 November

Winds
West of Maningrida: above 48 knots possible depending on movement and development of Tropical Cyclone Fina. Elsewhere northerly 20 to 30 knots decreasing to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Waves
West of Maningrida: Seas and swell exceeding 6m. Elsewhere: Seas 1.5 to 2.5 metres. Swells Northwesterly below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Please be awareWind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height.

Nearby Coastal Waters

QLD - Torres Strait - Coastal Waters Forecast QLD - North East Gulf of Carpentaria - Coastal Waters Forecast QLD - South East Gulf of Carpentaria - Coastal Waters Forecast WA- North Kimberley - Coastal Waters Forecast Roper Groote Coast Forecast Gove Peninsula Coast Forecast Arafura Coast Forecast Van Diemen Gulf Forecast North Tiwi Coast Forecast Beagle Bonaparte Gulf Forecast

The next routine forecast will be issued at 8:30 pm CST Wednesday.

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