IDY10250
SECURITE
High Seas Forecast for Southern METAREA 10
SOUTHERN AREA: 50S80E TO 50S160E TO ICE EDGE
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 15 January 2026
Part 1 Warnings
Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected.
Melbourne Gale Warning 8.
Melbourne Gale Warning 9.
Part 2 Situation at 150600 UTC
Low [1] 969hPa near 56S136E to warm front [1] 58S108E. Forecast low [1] 970hPa
near 60S145E to warm front [1] 2S132E 65S127E 63S119E at 161200UTC.
Trough near 56S144E 61S148E. Forecast near 57S164E 60S165E at 160000UTC, and
exiting east thereafter.
Forecast strengthening low [2] 978hPa near 54S110E at 160300UTC, and low [2]
978hPa near 56S115E at 161200UTC.
Forecast warm front [2] entering from west near 49S081E 52S076E at 160600UTC,
then near 50S086E 55S077E at 161200UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected.
North of line 57S080E 50S098E 65S114E 65S122E 60S130E 63S160E, outside warning
areas:
Northeasterly quarter winds within 120nm south of warm front [2], shifting
westerly east of trough and west of warm front [2]. Northwesterly quarter winds
north of warm front [1] and within 300nm of low [2] in the northeastern
quadrant. Southwesterly quarter winds within 120nm west of trough and west of
98E until 160600UTC. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Rough to very rough seas.
Moderate to heavy swell.
Remainder:
Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate swell.
Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 240nm of
lows and within 180nm of fronts and trough. Visibility reducing below 2nm in
precipitation.
Part 4 Ice edge
Approximately 65S080E 63S100E 65S110E 65S120E 64S130E 64S140E 63S160E.
Please be aware
Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger
than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum
waves can be twice the forecast height.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Thursday.
