IDY10250
SECURITE
High Seas Forecast for Southern METAREA 10
SOUTHERN AREA: 50S80E TO 50S160E TO ICE EDGE
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 10 October 2026
Part 1 Warnings
Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather
system.
Melbourne Gale Warning 6.
Melbourne Gale Warning 7.
Melbourne Gale Warning 8.
Part 2 Situation at 100600 UTC
Trough [1] 51S137E 56S143E to low [1] 960hPa near 58S143E. Forecast50S158E
55S157E to low [1] 952hPa near 60S143E at 101800UTC, then trough [1] east of
area. Low [1] 945hPa near 62S146E at 110300UTC before weakening into trough [2]
near 58S128E 59S136E 62S146E at 110600UTC, then trough [2] 57S128E 57S136E
61S147E at 111200UTC.
Forecast cold front [1] to enter area from the north near 50S137E to low [2]
976hPa near 52S140E at 110300UTC. Forecast cold front [1] near 50S149E 51S146E
53S146E to low [2] 967hPa near 56S148E at 111200UTC.
Trough [3] 52S108E 57S112E 59S111E. Forecast 50S131E 52S130E 54S125E at
111200UTC.
Forecast cold front [2] to enter area from the west near 50S079E 54S084E
58S088E at 110000UTC, and cold front [2] 50S086E 54S092E 59S095E at 111200UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings for details of the area affected.
Whole area, outside warning areas:
Westerly quarter winds, shifting northerly quarter within 360nm east of cold
front [1] and east of trough [1], northwesterly quarter within 240nm east of
cold front [2] and trough [2], shifting southwesterly quarter within 120nm west
of cold front [1] and west of trough [3], and turning clockwise within 120nm of
low [2] and 360nm of low [1]. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Rough to very rough
seas. Moderate to heavy swell.
Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly within 240nm
east of cold fronts and troughs and within 300nm of lows. Visibility reducing
below 2nm in precipitation.
Part 4 Ice edge
Approximately 57S080E 58S090E 60S100E 60S110E 62S120E 63S130E 62S140E 62S150E
61S160E.
Please be aware
Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger
than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum
waves can be twice the forecast height.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Saturday.
