Tropical cyclone warning services

Learn how we track tropical cyclones in the Australian region and warn communities

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Our cyclone warning services

Tropical cyclones are dangerous storms that threaten lives, property and infrastructure. To help keep communities safe, we provide:

For information to help you prepare, respond and recover, visit the National Emergency Management Agency.

Australia's role in global cyclone monitoring

An international network of Regional Specialised Meteorological Centres and Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres monitor and warn about tropical cyclones around the world. This global effort to protect communities is coordinated by the World Meteorological Organization.

For an international map featuring current cyclones and other severe weather, visit the World Meteorological Organization's Severe Weather Information Centre website.

Australia's area of responsibility

We're part of this global effort, responsible for warnings, advice and information for tropical cyclones affecting the Australian region.

This includes the coastal waters and land areas of Australia, incorporating:

  • Christmas Island
  • Cocos (Keeling) Islands
  • Lord Howe Island
  • Norfolk Island.
Map showing mainland Australia and parts of south-east Asia. A rectangular shape shows Australia's area of responsibility for watching and warning about tropical cyclone activity. The grid is bordered west at 90 degrees longitude, east at 160 degrees longitude and south at 40 degrees latitude. The northern border varies but is around 10 degrees latitude. The area includes the coastal waters and land areas of mainland Australia, and Christmas Island, Cocos Island, Lord Howe Island and Norfolk Island.

Australia's area of responsibility for cyclone tracking and warnings

Advice – watches and warnings

We issue a Tropical Cyclone Advice when a tropical cyclone is likely to cause winds at 63 km/h or greater (gale force) over Australian communities within the next 48 hours.

For each coastal community in the forecast path, this advice includes a:

  • Tropical Cyclone Watch, updated every 6 hours when gales are expected to start within 24–48 hours
  • Tropical Cyclone Warning every 3 hours when gales are expected within 24 hours or already happening.

For the latest Tropical Cyclone Advice, see Warnings and alerts.

About track maps

We issue a Tropical Cyclone Forecast Track Map for each tropical cyclone:

  • in the Australian region, or
  • likely to affect communities around Australia.

The map shows:

  • forecast movement – a shaded area indicates where the cyclone centre may move
  • intensity
  • watch or warning zones.

If there is a watch or warning for the tropical cyclone, the map is issued at the same time and reflects all the information in that advice.

Video: Understanding tropical cyclone forecast track maps

The Bureau provides a tropical cyclone 7 day forecast during the cyclone season, which typically runs from November to April each year. It includes detailed information to help you prepare for the impacts of tropical cyclones.

We keep you informed when a tropical low or tropical cyclone forms, or is expected to form, through our tropical cyclone 7 day forecast.

The easy‑to‑follow forecast shows the anticipated location and the chance a tropical low will develop into a tropical cyclone up to 7 days in advance.

When a tropical cyclone is forecast to impact coastal communities within the next 48 hours, we issue a tropical cyclone advice and a tropical cyclone forecast track map. The tropical cyclone advice tells you the expected impacts and includes recommended actions from emergency services.

The track map shows important information about the cyclone's forecast movements, intensity and its potential areas of impact, to help you prepare. Let's take a look at how the track map works.

The first step is tracking where the cyclone has been and how strong it is. The number in the centre of the cyclone symbol is the intensity category of the cyclone. The categories range from 1 to 5. The higher the number the stronger the intensity, with category 5 being the most severe. Coloured circles show the extent of damaging, destructive and very destructive wind gusts.

The next step is to predict where the cyclone may go and estimate its likely intensity and likely time of arrival at locations in its path. The centre line with the arrows shows the cyclone's most likely path. Either side of this line, the grey zone shows where the cyclone centre could be in the next 72 hours. Impacts can extend beyond the grey zone, so be prepared for any sudden change in the cyclone's predicted path.

Finally, the track map also includes wind warnings for nearby areas.

The darker orange shading shows the warning area that might experience gale force or destructive winds within the next 24 hours. The lighter orange shading shows the watch area where gale force or destructive winds might occur within the next 24 to 48 hours.

You can access the tropical cyclone 7 day forecast, track maps and advice on the Bureau's website so you can prepare and stay safe during a tropical cyclone. Stay up to date with the latest forecasts and warnings on the Bureau's website or BOM Weather app. Activate notifications for the latest warnings in your area.

How to read a Tropical Cyclone Forecast Track Map

Step 1 – Check your location

Check whether your location is in:

  • the forecast path (grey line and arrows)
  • a warning area (dark orange) – gale-force or stronger winds are expected in the next 24 hours
  • a watch area (light orange) – gale-force or stronger winds might happen in the next 24–48 hours.

You can still be at risk if you are outside the range of possible tracks (grey cone).

Step 2 – Follow the cyclone track

The track on the map shows:

  • where the cyclone has been (black line and arrows)
  • its current location and intensity (blue text)
  • its most likely track for the next 72 hours (grey line and arrows).

Step 3 – Check cyclone intensity and wind impact

To check the forecast intensity:

Higher numbers indicate more intensity. Category 5 is the strongest.

Coloured circles show the radius of:

  • the very destructive core (dark red)
  • destructive winds (red)
  • gale-force winds (light red).
Tropical cyclone forecast track map showing a path from the Coral Sea to Palmerville. Points along the track show current and forecast intensity and timing. Cape Grenville to Port Douglas is shaded dark orange, indicating a warning area. Coen to Innisfall is light orange, indicating a watch zone. A grey area shows possible wider impacts.

An example of the Tropical Cyclone Forecast Track Map

Forecast, bulletins and data

We provide a range of information to help Australians prepare for and understand cyclone activity in our region. This includes a 7 day forecast, bulletins and data files.

7 day forecast

We issue the 7 day forecast:

  • twice daily all year around for Australia's area of responsibility, and
  • more frequently when there is an active watch or warning.

For each significant tropical low or cyclone, the forecast includes a:

  • map showing the likely location up to 7 days ahead, updated at least twice daily
  • table giving the likelihood that it will be a tropical cyclone at each time step
  • description including key points about its expected development.

Seasonal planning

We provide detailed seasonal information for Australia and the South Pacific, including:

  • typical numbers of tropical cyclones
  • peak season frequency
  • heat maps
  • recent trends and projections.

This helps with preparation and planning, ahead of and during the tropical cyclone season.

Technical bulletin

Our Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin communicates technical details about a cyclone for specialists. This formatted text bulletin includes data and scientific commentary. It's issued once every 6 hours during the life of the cyclone.

Cyclone data in XML

Analysed and forecast data for tropical and extra-tropical cyclones is available in a standard format – Cyclone XML (CXML). This format can be read by humans and most automated applications.

CXML products are issued at the same time as the Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin.

You can search the product catalogue for tropical cyclone CXML bulletins using product identifier codes for these states and territories. For more details, visit the CXML page.

Service level specification for tropical cyclones

This document describes our publicly available tropical cyclone services within the Australian Region. It also outlines some other services we provide to support emergency management, aviation, and meteorological services in neighbouring countries.

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