South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast


High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 30 November 2015

Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Gale Warning 3 issued 301831UTC:
Area bounded by: 39S134E 42S144E 44S147E 45S147E 46S138E 43S132E 39S134E.

New Zealand Gale Warning 465 issued 301800UTC:
Over waters east of 160E.
In a belt 300 nautical miles wide centred on a line 49S159E 52S161E 56S160E:
Northwest 35kt developing next 6 hours. Gale area then moving SSE 35kt.

Part 2 Situation at 1800 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge [1] 32S170E 28S159E at 301800UTC and 34S170E 28S158E at 010600UTC and
28S160E 36S170E at 011800UTC.

Ridge [2] 39S145E 42S145E 50S138E, forecast 49S145E to high 1004 hPa near
49S152E to 44S152E at 010600UTC and south of area near 51S150E 53S159E 53S163E
at 011800UTC.

Ridge [3] west of area forecast 37S126E 50S134E at 010600UTC and 36S129E
35S136E 50S142E at 011800UTC.

Trough/Cold front [1] 34S144E 38S149E 43S150E 47S151E 50S150E, forecast
36S150E 39S153E 43S153E 46S156E 50S159E at 010600UTC and 32S152E 48S160E
50S165E at 011800UTC.

Cold front [2] 31S132E 37S135E 43S138E to low [2] 990 hPa near 44S136E to low
[3] 989 hPa near 49S135E to 50S135E, forecast 50S138E to low [2] 991 hPa near
44S141E to 46S147E 42S150E 37S149E at 010600UTC and 42S154E 45S154E 48S157E
46S152E to low [1] 1001 hPa near 45S147E to low [2] 1000 hPa near 48S146E to
50S146E at 011800UTC.

Trough [1] 39S163E 41S170E , forecast 44S165E 43S170E at 010600UTC and east of
area at 011800UTC.

Trough [2] 34S144E 38S149E 41S151E , forecast 36S150E 39S153E 42S153E at
010600UTC and 32S152E 48S160E 50S165E at 011800UTC.

Warm front west of area near 45S124E 50S123E, forecast 44S134E 50S134E at

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 180nm of ridges and remainder N of ridge [1]:
Variable winds below 20 knots tending NE quarter 10/20 knots along ridge [1]
and E quarter remainder north of ridge [1]. W quarter 10/20 knots along ridge
[3] south of 38S. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.

Remainder east of trough/cold front [1]:
N/NW winds 15/25 knots north of 40S increasing to 20/30 knots south of 40S and
becoming N quarter. Wind speeds increasing to 20/30 knots throughout after
010600UTC. Winds tending N/NE quarter within 180nm south of trough [1].
Moderate to rough seas, moderate swell.

Remainder west of trough/cold front [1], east of ridge [3], outside warning
W/SW winds 20/30 knots west of cold front [2] tending clockwise within 120nm of
lows and shifting NW quarter east of front, in area west of ridge [2]. W
quarter winds 15/25 knots remainder east of ridge [3] becoming E quarter in
area north of ridge [2] and south of cold front [2] by 011800UTC. Wind speeds
increasing 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning area. Moderate to rough seas.
Moderate to heavy swell.

Remainder west of ridge [3]:
W quarter winds 20/30 knots west of ridge [3] and remainder west of warm front
tending NW quarter within 180nm east of warm front and increasing 25/33 knots
within 120nm of warm front. Moderate to rough seas, moderate to heavy swell

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 180nm of
troughs, 240nm of fronts and 180nm of lows. Scattered showers remainder south
of 40S. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.


The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Tuesday.