IDY10210
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology National Meteorological and Oceanographic
Centre
FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 11 MARCH 2014
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum
waves may be up to twice the height.
Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Gale Warning 1 issued at 110630UTC:
Area bounded by 50S081E 45S096E 44S132E 46S147E 50S150E 50S081E.
Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.
Ridge [1] near 34S150E to high [1] 1028 hPa near 41S166E to 38S170E. Forecast
30S153E to high [1] 1025 hPa near 40S167E to 39S170E at 111800UTC and 30S152E to
high [1] 1024 hPa near 39S170E at 120600UTC.
Ridge [2] developing near 35S129E 34S140E. Forecast 36S129E 37S140E at 111800UTC
and from high [2] 1023 hPa near 35S129E to 37S141E at 120600UTC.
Cold front near 39S138E 43S141E 50S145E. Forecast 40S148E 44S153E 50S156E at
111800UTC and 39S153E 42S158E 50S163E at 120600UTC.
Trough [1] near 37S145E 44S147E. Forecast 37S149E 40S152E at 111800UTC and
33S151E 39S156E at 120600UTC.
Trough [2] near 43S137E 50S140E. Then forecast weakening by 111800UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.
Within 180nm of ridges, within 240nm of highs and north of ridge [2]:
Variable winds to 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.
Remainder directly north of ridge [1]:
Easterly quarter winds 15/25 knots. Moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.
Remainder directly south of ridge [1] and east of cold front and trough [1]:
N quarter winds 15/25 knots, reaching 30 knots at times. Winds becoming W
quarter 10/20 knots east of high. Moderate to rough seas, abating to slight to
moderate east of high. Low to moderate swell.
Remainder, outside of warning area:
W quarter winds tending SW quarter within 240nm west of trough [1] and cold
front. Wind speeds 15/25 knots increasing to 20/30 knots south of 38S and
further increasing to 25/33 knots within 180nm of warning area. Moderate to
rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 300nm of cold front and
trough. Scattered showers west of front. Isolated showers remainder away from
ridges. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 2100 UTC 11 March 2014
