South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE
 
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology National Meteorological and Oceanographic
Centre
FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 2300 UTC 27 JULY 2014
 
PLEASE BE AWARE 
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum
waves may be up to twice the height.

 
Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Gale Warning 6 issued 272003UTC:
Area bounded by 43S080E 42S096E 36S116E 38S140E 39S142E 42S144E 45S149E 50S152E
50S147E 47S137E 46S126E 50S120E 50S085E 48S093E 45S080E 43S080E.

New Zealand Gale warning 657 issued 271909UTC
In a belt 120 nautical miles wide centred on a line 43S168E 45S166E 48S165E:
Northeast 45kt developing next 6 hours. Gale area then slow moving.

 
Part 2 Situation at 1800 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

High 1021 hPa near 28S156E at 280600UTC and forecast high 1021 hPa near 29S161E
at 281800UTC.

Cold front [1] 44S150E 50S155E. Forecast 44S155E 50S158E at 280600UTC and then
weakening by 281800UTC.

Cold front [2] forecast 39S138E 44S141E 47S140E at 280600UTC and 44S146E 50S150E
at 281800UTC.

Cold front [3] forecast 40S137E 43S139E 46S138E at 281800UTC.

Low [1] 977 hPa near 49S136E and moving south of area by 280600UTC.

Low [2] 974 hPa forecast near 49S130E at 280600UTC and 970 hPa near 50S133E at
281800UTC.

Trough [1] 28S164E 33S163E 38S164E to low [3] 1007 hPa near 43S161E to 45S156E.
Forecast 28S166E 33S165E 39S167E to low [3] 1000 hPa near 48S163E to 50S161E at
280600UTC and 28S167E 34S167E 42S170E at 281800UTC.

 
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 180nm of high:
Variable winds to 15 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.

Remainder east and south of trough and outside warning areas:
N quarter winds tending clockwise within 240nm of low [3]. Winds speeds 15/25
knots increasing to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning area. Moderate to rough
seas. Moderate swell. 

Remainder outside warning areas:
NW quarter winds tending clockwise within 240 nm of low [3] and within 120nm of
low [1] and low [2]. Wind speeds 15 knots north of 38S, increasing to 15/25
knots and further increasing to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning area. Slight
to moderate seas north of 38S, rising to moderate to rough elsewhere. Moderate
to heavy swell.

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 360nm of lows, troughs and
cold fronts. Isolated showers remainder west of front. Visibility reducing below
2nm in precipitation.
 
WEATHER MELBOURNE
 
The next routine forecast will be issued at 0900  UTC 28 July 2014