South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE

High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 25 May 2016

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Gale Warning 2 issued 251801UTC:
Area bounded by 34S131E 38S132E 43S118E 45S105E 41S104E 38S119E 34S131E.

Part 2 Situation at 1800 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge [1] 28S159E 40S154E 50S152E. Forecast 28S166E 32S165E 43S157E 50S154E at
260600UTC and 28S174E 40S169E 50S156E at 261800UTC.

Ridge [2] 31S127E 39S133E 50S138E. Forecast 32S135E 44S136E 50S134E at
260600UTC and 35S141E 50S137E at 261800UTC.

Cold front [1] 34S140E 45S149E to low [1] 995 hPa near 50S143E. Forecast
30S151E 35S154E to low [2] 997 hPa near 39S152E to 45S151E to low [1] 995 hPa
near 49S147E at 260600UTC and 29S153E 34S159E 37S160E to low [2] 989 hPa near
39S154E to 45S152E to low [1] 997 hPa near 49S146E at 261800UTC.

Cold front [2] 39S162E 43S169E to low [3] 988 hPa near 47S167E . Forecast
moving to east of area near 36S172E 40S174E to low [3] 996 hPa near 44S170E at
260600UTC.

Cold front [3] approaching from the west, forecast 32S124E 40S128E to low [4]
998 hPa near 45S126E at 260600UTC and 32S134E 38S136E to low [5] 1002 hPa near
41S133E to low [4] 1000 hPa near 49S129E at 261800UTC.

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 120nm of ridges:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Remainder east of ridge [1]:
SW quarter tending S quarter south line 45S170E 50S155E. Clockwise winds within
240nm of low [3]. Wind speeds 15/25 knots, increasing to 20/30 knots within
120nm of cold front [2]. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Remainder west of ridge [1] and east of ridge [2]:
SW quarter winds tending N quarter east of cold front [1] and clockwise within
300nm of low [2] and 180nm of low [1]. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Moderate to
rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Remainder west of ridge [2] outside warning area:
NW quarter tending clockwise within 180nm of lows and becoming SW quarter west
of cold front [3]. Wind speeds 15/25 knots, increasing to 20/30 knots within
120nm of lows and west of cold front [3]. Wind speeds grading to 25/33 knots
within 120nm of warning area. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 300nm of lows
and cold fronts. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 09:00 UTC Thursday.