South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE

High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 11 February 2016

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Gale Warning 2 issued 110619UTC:
Area bounded by 50S112E 48S112E 44S118E 44S123E 48S138E 50S138E 50S112E.

Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge [1] 35S150E to high 1019 hPa near 39S165E to 39S170E. Ridge slow moving
and forecast 34S151E to high 1021 hPa near 40S166E to 39S170E at 120600UTC.

Ridge [2] 38S129E to high 1020 hPa near 40S134E to 43S144E 44S155E 50S160E,
forecast 33S129E to high 1018 hPa near 41S140E to high 1019 hPa near 43S156E to
45S162E 50S166E at 111800UTC and 30S129E to high 1014 hPa near 40S143E to high
1020 hPa near 45S163E to 46S170E at 120600UTC.

Trough 36S150E 41S158E 45S163E to low 1007 hPa near 49S163E, forecast 39S155E
42S162E 47S168E to low 1011 hPa near 50S169E at 111800UTC and 39S157E 41S162E
46S170E at 120600UTC.

Cold front west of area, forecast 40S115E 46S120E 50S122E at 111800UTC and
42S129E 46S133E 50S135E at 120600UTC.

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 180nm of ridges and 240nm of highs:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.

Remainder north of ridge [1]:
E quarter winds 10/20 knots with slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.

Remainder west of ridge [1] and east of ridge [2]:
NW quarter winds below 20 knots east of trough, tending W quarter remainder.
Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.

Remainder west of ridge [2]:
NW quarter winds 10/20 knots with slight to moderate seas. Winds shifting
westerly quarter west of cold front. Wind speeds increasing to 20/30 knots
within 360nm of cold front and area west of cold front and further increasing
to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning area with rough seas. Moderate swell,
increasing to moderate to heavy south of 48S.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 240nm of cold
front and trough. Isolated showers remainder away from ridges. Visibility
reducing below 2nm in precipitation.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Thursday.