IDY10210
SECURITE
High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 6 March 2015
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Storm Force Wind Warning 2 issued 060655UTC:
Area bounded by 38S148E 36S152E 36S160E 48S160E 45S149E 40S150E 38S148E.
New Zealand Storm Warning 104 issued 060600UTC:
Over waters east of 160E. Low 972hPa near 44S158E moving east northeast 25kt.
1. Within 240 nautical miles of low in western semicircle: Clockwise 50kt.
2. Outside area 1 and within 540 nautical miles of low in northern semicircle:
Clockwise 35kt at times.
3. Outside areas 1 and 2 and within 360 nautical miles of low in southern
semicircle: Clockwise 35kt at times.
Storm and gale areas moving with low.
Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.
Ridge [1] 34S129E 33S139E. Forecast 33S129E 33S139E at 061800UTC and 33S129E
32S138E at 070600UTC.
Ridge [2] 30S153E 30S164E 33S170E. Forecast 31S152E 29S160E 29S164E 32S170E
061800UTC and 37S150E to high 1012 hPa near 33S156E to 29S161E 29S170E at
070600UTC.
Ridge [3] 42S143E 50S147E. Forecast 43S151E 45S152E 50S155E at 061800UTC and
33S156E 46S158E 50S162E at 070600UTC.
Cold front [1] 28S165E 31S170E. Then forecast east of area.
Cold front [2] 32S152E 38S160E 41S163E to low 972 hPa near 44.5S158.5E.
Forecast 31S160E 36S168E 39S170E 42S170E 43S167E to low 976 hPa near 42S165E at
061800UTC and front east of area and low 983 hPa near 42S170E at 070600UTC.
Cold front [3] approaching west of area, forecast 39S129E 41S134E 46S140E
50S142E at 061800UTC and 50S151E 45S150E 40S147E at 070600UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.
Within 180nm of ridges and north of ridge [1]:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Low to moderate swell grading to heavy along
ridge [3].
Remainder north of ridge [2]:
NW quarter winds east of cold front [1],tending S quarter between cold front
[1] and ridge [2]. Wind speeds 10/20 knots. Moderate to rough seas and moderate
to heavy swell.
Remainder east of cold front [2], outside warning areas:
NW quarter winds, turning NE quarter south of 40S and westerly quarter south of
a line 50S163E 46S170E until 061500UTC. Winds clockwise within 360nm of low.
Winds speeds 20/30 knots, increasing to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning
areas. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.
Remainder west of cold front [2], outside warning areas:
SW quarter winds tending clockwise 360nm of low. Wind speeds 20/30 knots
grading to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning areas. Winds tending NW quarter
15/25 knots within 600nm west of Ridge [3] and W quarter remainder west of
ridge [3], increasing to 20/30 knots within 300nm of cold front [3] then
shifting SW quarter 20/30 knots west of cold front [3]. Moderate to rough seas.
Moderate to heavy swell.
Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 240nm of cold
fronts and 360nm of low. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms remainder
south of 40S. Isolated showers elsewhere. Visibility reducing below 2nm in
precipitation.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Friday.
