South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast


High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 6 October 2015

Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Storm force wind Warning 4 issued at 061826UTC:
Area bounded by 43S146E 42S150E 42S160E 50S160E 50S146E 43S146E.

Melbourne Gale Warning 5 issued at 061835UTC:
Area bounded by 48S135E 50S133E 50S154E 46S156E 46S152E 47S148E 48S135E.

New Zealand Storm Force Wind Warning 113 issued at 061800UTC:
Over waters east of 160E.
In a belt 240 nautical miles wide centred on a line 50S 153E 48S 157E 48S 160E:
Southwest 40kt rising to 50kt next 6 hours.
Storm and gale areas moving east 30kt.

New Zealand Gale warning 118 issued at 061800UTC:
Over waters east of 160E.
Low 975hPa near 53S 158E moving east 50kt.
In a belt 660 nautical miles wide centred on a line 45S 155E 49S 170E 52S 175W:
Clockwise 40kt.
Gale area moving east 20kt.

Part 2 Situation at 1800 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge [1] 28S157E 33S166E 34S170E. Forecast 32S170E 32S163E 28S157E at
070600UTC and 31S164E 31S170E at 071800UTC.

Ridge [2] 38S129E 38S144E. Forecast 39S129E to high [1] 1037 hpa near 40S134E
to 41S140E 38S152E at 070600UTC and 40S129E to high [1] 1038 hPa near 42S140E
to high [2] 1039 hPa near 40S151E to 38S156E at 071800UTC.

Cold front/trough near 32S144E 36S155E 45S163E 50S166E. Forecast 29S152E
42S170E at 070600UTC and 34S167E 36S170E at 071800UTC.

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 120nm of ridges and 180nm of highs:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swells
near ridge [1], moderate to heavy swell near ridge [2].

Remainder north of ridge [1]:
E quarter winds 10/20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Moderate swell.

Remainder north of ridge [2] west of cold front/trough:
SE quarter winds 15/25 knots becoming S quarter 20/33 knots east of 150E.
Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Remainder southwest of ridge [1] and outside warning areas:
NW quarter winds turning W quarter west of cold front/trough and S quarter
north of 40S. Wind speeds 15/25 knots, increasing to 20/30 knots south of 40S.
Winds grading to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning areas. Moderate to rough
seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 240nm of cold
front/trough. Scattered showers and thunderstorms west of cold front/trough.
Isolated to scattered showers remainder south from 40S. Visibility reducing
below 2nm in precipitation.


The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Wednesday.