South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE

High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 30 July 2016

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Storm Force Wind Warning 2 issued 302006UTC:
Area bounded by 36S123E 43S136E 50S137E 50S124E 46S117E 41S117E 36S123E.

Melbourne Gale Warning 3 issued 301903UTC:
Area bounded by 47S144E 43S157E 45S157E 50S147E 50S143E 47S144E.

New Zealand Storm Warning 685 issued 301800UTC:
Low 972hPa near 48S 179E moving east southeast 5kt.
1. Within 120 nautical miles of low in northern semicircle: Clockwise 35kt
rising to 50kt next 6 hours. Storm and gale areas moving east southeast 5kt.
2. Outside area 1 and in a belt 480 nautical miles wide centred on a line 47S
164E 40S 174E 41S 173W: Clockwise 35kt. Gale area moving east northeast 25kt.
3. Outside areas 1 and 2 and within 240 nautical miles of low: Clockwise 35kt
at times. Gale area moving east southeast 5kt.

Part 2 Situation at 1800 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge [1] 50S153E to high 1018 hPa near 34S162E to 28S154E. Forecast 50S156E
43S165E to high 1017 hPa near 32S169E to 29S168E at 310600UTC then east of area
by 311800UTC.

Ridge [2] 34S138E 50S140E. Forecast 36S146E 50S145E at 310600UTC and 29S153E
38S152E 46S150E 50S151E 50S151E at 311800UTC.

Cold front [1] 36S143E 42S148E to low [1] 990 hPa near 47S147E to low [2] 987
hPa near 49S145E. Forecast 31S154E 37S158E 44S158E to low [1] 995 hPa near
47S155E to low [2] 993 hPa near 48S151E at 310600UTC and 30S163E 36S166E to low
[1] 996 hPa near 44S165E to low [2] 998 hPa near 46S156E at 311800UTC.

Cold front [2] 38S124E 45S130E 52S129E 50S124E to low [3] 970 hPa near 46S121E.
Forecast 33S131E 50S138E 55S129E to low [3] 976 hPa near 49S131E at 310600UTC
and 32S134E 42S141E 46S143E 50S143E at 311800UTC.

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 180nm of ridges and 240nm of high:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Remainder east of ridge [1], outside warning areas:
SW quarter winds 15/25 knots increasing to 20/30 knots south of 37S and grading
to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning areas. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate
to heavy swell.

Remainder, outside warning areas:
SW quarter winds shifting N quarter east of cold front [1] and NW quarter
remainder west of ridge [2]. Winds turning clockwise within 120nm of lows.
Winds 20/30 knots, grading to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning area.
Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Areas of rain, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 240nm of
cold fronts. Scattered showers remainder away from ridges. Visibility reducing
below 2nm in precipitation.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 09:00 UTC Sunday.