IDY10210
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA 28S/50S, 129E/170E.
ISSUED BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL AND OCEANOGRAPHIC
CENTRE
FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 2300 UTC 14 FEBRUARY 2012
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum
waves may be up to twice the height.
Part 1 Warnings
Nil
Part 2 Situation at 1800 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.
Trough [1] 28S164E 35S170E to low [1] 1008 hPa near 40S169E. Forecast 31S158E
35S173E to low [1] 1011 hPa near 40S171E at 150600UTC and trough weakening
leaving the low 1014 hPa near 39S171E at 151800UTC.
Ridge [1] 30S153E to high [1] 1025 hPa near 43S155E to 48S161E 48S170E. Forecast
34S151E to high [1] 1024 hPa near 43S148E to 48S62E 48S170E at 150600UTC and
33S152E to high [1] 1024 hPa near 42S159E to 48S165E 48S170E at 151800UTC.
Trough [2] 34S137E to low [2] 1007 hPa near 38S133E. Forecast 35S138E to low
1006 hPa near 42S137E at 150600UTC and 37S140E 46S141E at 151800UTC.
Cold front 48S127E 50S131E. Forecast 44S130E 50S136E at 150600UTC and 45S139E
50S143E at 151800UTC.
Ridge [2] 41S129E 46S146E to high [1] 1025 hPa near 43S155E. Forecast from
35S129E 43S134E at 150600UTC and from high [2] 1017 hPa near 36S130E to 45S139E
at 151800UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.
Within 120nm of ridges and 240nm of highs:
Variable winds to 15 knots. Light to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.
Remainder northeast of ridge [1]:
Southerly quarter winds turning northerly quarter east of trough and clockwise
within 180nm of low. Wind speeds 10/20 knots increasing 15/25 knots within 180nm
of low. Moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.
Remainder southwest of ridge [1] and east of trough [2] and front:
Northerly quarter winds turning clockwise within 180nm of low [2]. Wind speeds
15/25 increasing 20/30 knots within 240nm east of front. Moderate seas rising
moderate to rough within 240nm east of front. Moderate swell.
Remainder west of trough [2] and front:
Westerly quarter winds turning more NW west of ridge and S quarter east of
ridge. Winds clockwise within 180nm of low [2]. Wind speeds 10/20knots north of
45S increasing 15/25 knots south of 45S. Moderate seas rising moderate to rough
south of 45S. Moderate swell.
Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 240nm of trough
[1]/low [1] and within 240nm of cold front. Isolated showers and thunderstorms
within 240nm of trough [2]/low [2]. Visibility reducing below 2nm in
precipitation.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
