Community Threat

Warning Zone
Gales within 24 hours

Watch Zone
Gales from 24-48 hours

The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.

Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.

This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.

Headline:

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Narelle approaching the north Kimberley, likely to redevelop over waters west of the Kimberley early on Wednesday.

Areas affected:

Warning zone: Mitchell Plateau to the WA/NT Border.

Watch zone: Beagle Bay to southwest of Mitchell Plateau.

Cancelled zones: None.

Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Narelle 34U at 6:30 am ACST:

Intensity: tropical low, sustained winds near the centre of 55 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 30 kilometres of 14.1 degrees South, 129.7 degrees East , 25 kilometres northeast of Wadeye and 230 kilometres northeast of Wyndham .
Movement: west at 24 kilometres per hour .

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Narelle will continue tracking across the western Top End this morning as a well-defined tropical low. A Severe Weather Warning is current in this area for heavy, locally intense rainfall and damaging wind gusts.

The low is expected to move over the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf today, and gales may redevelop to the north of the centre. These gales may impact the northeast Kimberley coast and there is only a low chance of the system redeveloping into a tropical cyclone during this time. The passage of the low across the north Kimberley is likely to be accompanied by heavy rainfall, particularly during the period from this afternoon until Tuesday morning.

During Tuesday, Ex-Tropical Cyclone Narelle is forecast to move offshore of the west Kimberley coast and there is a risk of coastal gales between Beagle Bay and west of Kalumburu. It is a High chance of redeveloping into a tropical cyclone by early Wednesday morning, and during Wednesday it is likely to be located to the north of the Pilbara coast and moving west southwest.

Hazards:

HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is likely to develop across the north Kimberley during today and continue into Tuesday morning.

GALES with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS to 90 km/h may develop along the coast between Kalumburu and the WA/NT border during Monday as the low moves west.

GALES with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS to 100 km/h may develop along the coast between Beagle Bay and west of Kalumburu during Tuesday.

Recommended Action:

DFES advises:

Ensure you know what to do in a cyclone. For the latest DFES community alerts and warnings visit www.emergency.wa.gov.au or download the Emergency WA app.

Tropical Cyclone information is also available in MetEye

Next Issue

The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 10:30 am ACST Monday