IDY10230
SECURITE
High Seas Forecast for Metarea 10 - North East
NORTHEASTERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 28S, 142E TO 170E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 31 January 2015
PLEASE BE AWARE
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
Part 1 Warnings
Nadi Gale Warning 039 issued 310708UTC.
Tropical Cyclone OLA 982 hPa near 17.8S 161.7E at 310600UTC.
Winds 50 knots close to centre, over 47 knots within 30 nm of centre and over
33 knots within 90 nm centre in NE and SE quadrants and within 45 nm of centre
in SW and NW quadrants.
Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.
Trough [1] 14S143E 16S157E to tropical cyclone OLA 982 hPa near 17.8S161.7E to
16S170E. Forecast 14S143E 17S157E to cyclone OLA 980 hPa near 18.7S162.1E to
17S170E at 311800UTC and 16S145E 18S157E to cyclone OLA 978 hPa near
19.8S162.5E to 18S170E at 010600UTC.
Trough [2] 21S162E 28S163E slow moving.
Ridge 23S151E 28S158E slow moving.
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.
North of trough [1] outside warning area:
NW quarter winds north of 05S tending W quarter elsewhere and clockwise within
300nm of tropical cyclone OLA. Wind speeds 10/20 knots north of 05S and also
west of 150E increasing to 15/25 knots elsewhere and grading to 25/33 knots
within 120nm of warning area. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell.
Within 180nm of ridge:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.
Remainder south of trough [1] outside warning area:
SE quarter winds west of trough [2] tending NE quarter east of trough [2] and
clockwise within 300nm of tropical cyclone OLA. Wind speeds 15/25 knots grading
to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning area. Winds easing to 10/20 knots west
of 150E. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell.
Rain areas, scattered showers and thunderstorms north of trough [1], within
300nm of tropical cyclone OLA and within 180nm of trough [2]. Visibility
reducing below 2nm in precipitation.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Saturday.
