Annual Workshop (27th November –1st December) | Download/ Print PDF copy for the program
The 2017 CAWCR Workshop book of abstracts are available as a download by clicking here
The 2017 CAWCR Workshop book of abstracts are available as a download by clicking here
| DAY 1 - Monday 27th November | ||
|---|---|---|
| 8:30 | Registration | |
| 9:00 | Chris Lucas | Introduction and Housekeeping |
| 9:05 | Sue Barrell | Acknowledgement of Traditional Owners and Opening Comments |
| The Value of Meteorological Applications - Chair: Chris Lucas | ||
| 9.15 | Keynote: Dr Jeff Lazo (Consultant, formerly NCAR) | Economic Assessment of Hydrological-Meteorological Services and Products: The Value Chain Approach |
| 9.45 | Keynote: John Handmer (RMIT) | Understanding and explaining the costs of natural disasters to Australia |
| 10.15 | Vicki Heinrich (BoM) | How can BoM warning messaging better trigger action? |
| 10:30-11:00 | Morning Tea (30 Mins) | ||
| Bureau Systems and Status (Future Developments) - Chair: Alistair Kemp | ||
| 11:00 | Anthony Rea (BoM) | Data and Observations - Future Perspectives |
| 11:20 | Tony Hirst (BoM) | Status and future evolution of the Bureau's modelling systems |
| 11:40 | Tim Pugh (BoM) | The Five-Year Capability Plan and Roadmap for Scientific Computing |
| 12:00 | Andrew Tupper (BoM) | Contrasting weather service evolutions for the developed and developing world - an example from the Australia / Papua New Guinea relationship |
| 12:20-13:45 | Lunch (85 Mins) | ||
| General NWP and Ensembles - Chair: Beth Ebert | ||
| 13:45 | Keynote: Ken Mylne (UK Met Office) | Ensemble applications for high-impact weather at the Met Office |
| 14:15 | Gary Weymouth (BoM) | Statistical post-processing of ensemble numerical weather prediction guidance |
| 14:30 | Michael Foley (BoM) | Weather forecast process streamlining and evaluation |
| 14:45 | Keynote: Michael Scheuerer (NOAA ERSL-PSD) | Generating spatio-temporal precipitation forecast fields based on the output of the global ensemble forecast system (GEFS) |
| 15:15 – 15:45 | Afternoon Tea (30 Mins) | ||
| ACCESS Developments - Chair: Harald Richter | ||
| 15:45 | Susan Rennie (BoM) | High resolution data assimilation in ACCESS |
| 16:00 | Charmaine Franklin (BoM) | UM Physics Developments for Improved Convective-Scale Forecasts |
| 16:15 | Chun-hsu Su (BoM) | BoM atmospheric high-resolution regional reanalysis for Australia (BARRA): status and progress |
16:30 |
Jim Fraser (BoM) | ACCESS-TC3: Developing a new 4km tropical cyclone forecast system |
| 16:45 | John Middleton (PIRSA-SARDI) | eSA-Marine - phase 1: the first step towards an operational now-cast/forecast ocean prediction system for Southern Australia |
17:30 |
Reception | Reception at St Brew's Cafe |
18:30 |
End of day 1 |
|
The 2017 CAWCR Workshop book of abstracts are available as a download by clicking here
The 2017 CAWCR Workshop book of abstracts are available as a download by clicking here
| DAY 2 –Tuesday 28th November | ||
|---|---|---|
| Radar/Remote Sensing applications - Chair Carlos Velasco | ||
| 9:00 | Mark Curtis (BoM) | "Rainfields 3: Real-time radar quality control and precipitation estimation" |
| 9:15 | Alain Protat (BoM) | What can our new operational dual-polarization radars do for you |
| 9:30 | Bronwyn Dolman (ATRAD) | The Australian Wind Profiler Network: operation, assimilation and research |
| Convection and hi-res modelling - Chair: Gary Dietachmayer | ||
| 9.45 | Keynote: Israel Jirak (NOAA SPC) | The Utility of Convection-Allowing Models and Ensembles for High-Impact Weather Forecasting |
| 10.15 | Shaun Cooper (BoM) | ACCESS City Ensemble (CE3): Convective Scale Ensemble NWP at the Bureau |
| 10:30-11:00 | Morning Tea (30 Mins) | ||
| 11:00 | Harald Richter (BoM) | New developments in BoM’s thunderstorm prediction system - calibrated thunder |
| 11:15 | Dean Sgarbossa (BoM) | Improved extreme weather hazard prediction and communication through science to operations |
| 11:30 | Ken Mylne (UKMO) | IMPROVER - a new strategy for integrated post-processing and verification for the convective scale age |
| Machine Learning/AI in the Atmospheric Sciences - Chair: Gary Weymouth | ||
| 11:45 | Keynote: David Gagne (NCAR) | Machine learning integration into high impact weather forecasting systems |
| 12:15 | Pablo Larraondo (NCI) | Disentangling the weather manifold |
| 12:30 | Emile Jansons (BoM) | Watching Clouds in the Cloud: Forecasting the evolution of cloud object ensembles with computer vision and deep learning |
| 12:45 - 14:00 | Lunch (75 Mins) | ||
| Technology for Modelling, Machine Learning, Visualization and Data Analytics - Chair: Tim Pugh | ||
| 14.00 | Keynote -- Katie Antypas (US NERSC, SCP Sponsor) | Supporting large scale experimental workflows on the NERSC HPC systems |
| 14:25 | Chris Lindahl (Cray) | Trends in computational architectures and applications over the coming 5 years |
| 14:45 | Justin Glen (DDN) | Optimising storage for science and analytics |
| 15:00 | Clinton Chee (Altair) | Cylc – PBS Integration and Customization in BoM’s Supercomputing Environment |
| 15:15 | Werner Scholz (Xenon) | Tools and platforms for data analytics, deep learning and visualisation |
| 15:30-16:00 | Afternoong Tea (30 Mins) | ||
| Machine Learning and future applications in the Bureau - Chair: Sam Stevens | ||
| 16.00 | Martin Kearns (Chief Digital Officer, Innodev) | How to survive in a world of disruption and turn it to your advantage |
| 16.30 | Panel discussion | Machine Learning and future applications in the Bureau |
| 17.15 | End of day 2 | |
The 2017 CAWCR Workshop book of abstracts are available as a download by clicking here
| DAY 3 –Wednesday 29th November | ||
|---|---|---|
| Probabilistic water forecasts and linkages with water management - Chair: Narendra Tuteja | ||
| 9:00 | Shelby Canterford (GA) | Deciding to act: factors influencing decision making in the Brisbane floods and TC Debbie |
| 9:15 | Keynote: George Kuczera (U Newcastle) | On the nexus between lead time, system dynamics and performance. |
| 9.45 | Neville Garland (MDBA) | Forecasting requirements for contemporary and future river system management |
| 10.00 | David Robertson (CSIRO) | Understanding and quantifying uncertainties in ensemble short-term streamflow forecasts |
| 10.15 | Prasantha Hapuarachci (BoM) | Assessing the quality of ensemble NWP rainfall forecasts for streamflow forecasting |
| 10:30 - 11:00 | Morning Tea (30 Mins) | ||
| Health and emergency services - Chair: Jeff Kepert | ||
| 11.00 | Amisha Mehta (BNHCRC) | Communicating natural hazards warnings effectively |
| 11.15 | Martin Cope (CSIRO) | Short term smoke forecasting for prescribed burn management |
| 11.30 | Beth Ebert (BoM) | Thunderstorm asthma - challenges in predicting a rare event |
| 11.45 | Mika Peace | High-resolution coupled fire-atmosphere simulation of the Waroona fire |
| 12:00 | Paul Fox-Hughes | User-oriented evaluation of fire simulators |
| 12.15 | Phillip King (BoM) | A new world of extreme weather |
| 12:30 - 13:45 | Lunch (75 Mins) | ||
| Aviation - Chair: Gordon Jackson | ||
13.45 |
Keynote: Mike Pavolonis (NOAA NESDIS) | Transforming satellite data to products in the era of big data |
| 14.15 | Vickal Kumar (BoM) | Impacts of space weather on aviation |
| 14.30 | Adrian Slootjes (Virgin Airlines) | Value of weather knowledge for aviation operations. |
| 14.45 | Chris Lucas (BoM) | Predicting volcanic ash dispersion for aviation using ensembles |
| 15.00 | Rodney Potts (BoM) | Meteorology supporting the aviation industry |
| 15:15 | Marcus Bursik (SUNY Buffalo) | Estimation of ash loading and concentration from growth of volcanic umbrella clouds and downwind plumes |
| 15:30 - 16:00 | Afternoon Tea (30 Mins) | ||
| Energy - Chair: Jill Cainey | ||
| 16.00 | Steven Disano/Jack Fox (AEMO) | Weather data needs for the Australian energy market |
| 16.30 | Ian Grant (BoM) | The growing need for solar resource assessment and forecasting and the contribution of satellite data |
| 16.45 | Lawrie Rikus (BoM) | Validating operational NWP forecasts for solar energy |
| 17:00 | Grant Elliot (Woodside) | From Services to Decisions - an industry perspective on good weather based decision making |
| 17:15 | END of Day 3 |
The 2017 CAWCR Workshop book of abstracts are available as a download by clicking here
| DAY 4 –Thursday 30th November | ||
|---|---|---|
| Seasonal forecasting - Chair: Harry Hendon | ||
| 9:00 | Keynote: Peter Hayman (SARDI) | Climate science and agriculture; valuing the forecast and making the forecast valuable |
| 9.30 | Debbie Hudson (BoM) | Towards seasonal prediction applications using ACCESS-S |
| 9.45 | Andrew Watkins | Converting climate science into climate services: a case study from the Improved Seasonal Forecasting Services project |
| 10.00 | Paul Gregory (BoM) | Multi-week prediction of tropical cyclone genesis using coupled ocean/atmosphere models |
| 10.15 | Shoni Maguire (BoM) |
National and international context for the development of the Bureau's warning systems |
| 10:30 - 11:00 | Morning Tea (30 Mins) | ||
| Ocean/Marine - Chair: Grant Smith | ||
| 11:00 | Keynote -David Wachenfeld (GBRMPA) | Maintaining the resilience of the Great Barrier Reef in the 21st Century: the importance of remote sensing, modelling and forecasting tools |
| 11.30 | Keynote: Alistair Hobday (CSIRO) | Seasonal forecasting for marine resource users - lessons from 10 years of delivery |
| 12.00 | Stefan Zieger (BoM) | Extending AUSWAVE to the nearshore |
| 12.15 | Stewart Allen (BoM) | An operational coastal sea level forecasting system |
| 12:30 - 13:45 | Lunch (75 Mins) | ||
| Water Security - Chair: Rob Argent | ||
| 13.45 | Keynote: Tom McMahon (U Melb) | How can GCM modellers assist hydrologists to assess water security in 21st century? |
| 14.15 | Bruce Rhodes (Melbourne Water) | Use and application of climate and seasonal forecasts in water resource management |
| 14.30 | QJ Wang (U Melb) | Water forecasts in Australia at seasonal time scale - research advances and challenges |
| 14.45 | Daehyok Shin (BoM) | Lessons learned from the operationalisation of seasonal streamflow forecasts over the decade |
| 15.00 | Ashish Sharma (UNSW) | Urban flooding increasing, while the countryside dries up - a global assessment of water security with rising temperatures |
| 15:15 - 15:45 | Afternoon Tea (30 Mins) | ||
| Climate Change - Chair: Neil Plummer | ||
| 15:45 | Keynote : Andrew King (U Melb) | Progress towards an operational event attribution system for Australia |
| 16:00 | Bethune Carmichael | Preserving cultural heritage in the face of anthropogenic climate change |
| 16:30 | Kevin Walsh (U Melb) | Tropical cyclones and climate change |
| 16:45 | Michael Grose (CSIRO) | Climate projections products and services: providing value at the multi-decadal scale |
| 17:00 | Karl Braganza (BoM) | What will future climate change services look like? |
| 17:15 | End of Workshop |
The 2017 CAWCR Workshop book of abstracts are available as a download by clicking here
| DAY 5 –1ST December, 2017 | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A DAY WITH OUR INTERNATIONAL GUESTS The general gist of this day is for the international speakers to give seminars that either expand upon on their keynote speeches or discuss other topics outside of their scope. There should be plenty of time for audience interaction. There will also be space available for more informal side meetings and casual conversations. Not all international speakers will speak on this day; a few have seminars scheduled for the following week during their extended visits, but should still be available for discussions during the day. The main room will be split to accommodate a parallel-sessions approach. The tentative schedule for speaking is below.
|