South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE

High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 23 May 2016

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Storm Force Wind Warning 6 issued at 231847UTC:
Area bounded by 38S102E 31S115E 43S136E 50S137E 50S108E 45S100E 38S102E.

Melbourne Gale Warning 7 issued at 231912UTC:
Area bounded by 48S149E 37S150E 34S156E 34S160E 42S160E 45S155E 48S154E 48S149S.

New Zealand Gale Warning 547 issued at 231800UTC:
Over waters east of 160E.
Front 29S159E 34S164E 39S166E moving east 35kt.
Within 660 nautical miles southwest of front: Southwest 40kt at times.
Gale area then moving with front.

Part 2 Situation at 1800 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge 34S139E 40S137E 50S142E. Forecast 37S143E 50S144E at 240600UTC and
38S146E 50S146E at 241800UTC.

Cold front [1] 28S155E 34S164E 39S165E to low [1] 985 hPa near 44S156E to
50S152E. Forecast 28S162E 35S173E 39S172E to developing low [2] 982hPa near
42S168E to low [1] 987 hPa near 41S158E 44S153E at 240600UTC then east of area
by 241800UTC.

Low [3] 990 hPa near 49S170E. Forecast 983 hPa near 49S168E at 240600UTC and
981 hPa near 48S167E.

Cold front [2] approaching west of area, forecast 36S129E 41S132E 47S131E
50S130E at 241200UTC and 33S129E 40S135E 45S136E 50S134E at 241800UTC.

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 120nm of ridge:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Remainder east of ridge, outside warning areas:
SW quarter winds 15/30 knots west of cold front shifting W quarter 15/25 knots
east of front and north of 40S. Clockwise winds 15/25 knots within 240nm of
lows. Variable winds below 25 knots remainder. Wind speeds increasing to 25/33
knots within 120nm of warning areas. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy
swell.

Remainder west of ridge, outside warning area:
N quarter winds shifting W quarter west of cold front [2]. Wind speeds 15/25
knots increasing to 25/33 knots within 180nm of warning area. Moderate to rough
seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 300nm of lows
and cold fronts. Scattered showers remainder south of 40S away from ridge.
Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 09:00 UTC Tuesday.