IDY10210
SECURITE
High Seas Forecast for South Eastern METAREA 10
SOUTH EASTERN AREA: COAST AT 25S TO 25S170E TO 29S170E TO 45S160E TO 50S160E TO
50S129E TO COAST AT 129E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 16 February 2026
Part 1 Warnings
Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather
system.
Melbourne Gale Warning 4.
Part 2 Situation at 161800 UTC
Cold front [1] 35S137E to low 977hPa near 46S132E. Forecast near cold front [1]
near 38S145E 41S146E to low 954hPa near 50S137E at 170600UTC, low then moving
south of area thereafter, and just cold front [1] near 34S151E 42S156E 50S154E
at 180000UTC.
Forecast cold front [2] west of area near 43S123E 50S121E at 170000UTC, and
43S146E 47S146E 50S142E at 180000UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings for boundary of affected area and type of weather
system.
North of line 25S167E 27S170E:
Southeasterly quarter winds. Wind speeds 20/30 knots, decreasing below 25 knots
by 170000UTC. Moderate to rough seas abating to slight to moderate by
170000UTC. Low to moderate swell.
West of line 35S153E 42S158E 50S159E, outside warning areas:
Northerly quarter winds, shifting westerly west of cold front [1] and cold
front [2], turning clockwise within 300nm of low. Wind speeds 25/33 knots.
Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.
Remainder:
Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Low to moderate swell,
increasing to moderate to heavy west of line 25S161E 29S163E 38S155E.
Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 120nm of cold
front [2], 240nm of cold front [1] and 300nm of low. Heavy at times north of
line 25S165E 28S170E. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.
Please be aware
Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger
than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum
waves can be twice the forecast height.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Tuesday.
