South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE
 
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology Bureau National Operations Centre
FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 24 OCTOBER 2014
 
PLEASE BE AWARE 
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum
waves may be up to twice the height.

 
Part 1 Warnings
New Zealand Gale Warning 412 issued 240523UTC:
At 240600UTC. Over waters east of 160E:
In an area bounded by 47S160E 53S166E 56S166E 56S160E 47S160E: Northwest 35kt
developing next 6-12 hours.
 
Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge [1] 28S158E to high [1] 1023 hPa near 34S161E to high [2] 1025 hPa near
42S162E to 50S162E. Forecast 28S160E to high [2] 1026 hPa near 39S167E to
50S171E at 241800UTC and 28S161E to high [2] 1024 hPa near 38S171E to 43S171E at
250600UTC.

Ridge [2] 34S121E to high [3] 1018 hPa near 38S123E to 50S129E. Forecast
31S129E to high [3] 1019 hPa near 43S133E to 50S139E at 241800UTC and 34S138E to
high [3] 1019 hPa near 45S140E to 50S140E at 250600UTC.

Cold front 38S133E 50S141E. Forecast 40S145E 43S151E 50S153E at 241800UTC and
38S150E 39S154E 50S165E at 250600UTC.

Trough 38S146E 41S143E 50S142E. Forecast 33S151E 40S152E 50S155E at 241800UTC
and 28S153E 38S155E 50S166E at 250600UTC.
 
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 180nm of ridges and 240nm of highs:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.

Remainder east of ridge [1]:
SE quarter winds 10/20 knots north of high [2], tending SW quarter 10/20 knots
south of high [2]. Slight to moderate seas. Moderate swell.

Remainder west of ridge [1] and east of ridge [2], outside warning area:
N quarter winds 20/30 knots east of trough, increasing to 25/33 knots within
120nm of warning area. Winds shifting W/SW 15/25 knots west of trough and
shifting SW quarter 20/30 knots west of front. Moderate to rough seas. Low to
moderate swell.

Remainder west of ridge [2]:
N quarter winds 10/20 knots north of high [3] with slight to moderate seas,
tending NW/W 15/25 knots south of high [3] with moderate to rough seas. Moderate
swell.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 240nm of
trough and cold front. Isolated showers remainder away from ridges. Visibility
reducing below 2nm in precipitation.
 
WEATHER MELBOURNE
 
The next routine forecast will be issued at 2000  UTC 24 October 2014