South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE
 
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology Bureau National Operations Centre
FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 2300 UTC 15 SEPTEMBER 2014
 
PLEASE BE AWARE 
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum
waves may be up to twice the height.

 
Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Gale Warning 3 issued at 151905UTC.
Area bounded by 50S129E 46S129E 43S136E 47S139E 50S133E 50S129E.

Melbourne Gale Warning 4 issued at 151914UTC. 
Area bounded 38S150E 37S152E 39S152E 39S150E 38S150E.
 
Part 2 Situation at 1800 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge 28S159E 44S149E 50S152E. Forecast 28S164E 39S156E 45S154E 50S156E and near
30S170E 45S157E 50S162E at 161800UTC.

Cold front [1] 35S165E 43S172E 48S170E at 151800UTC, and then east of the area
by 160600UTC.  

Cold front [2] near 40S131E 46S138E 50S139E. Forecast 40S137E 44S142E 50S143E at
160600UTC and near 40S143E 45S147E 50S148E at 161800UTC.

Trough 28S148E to low 1006 hPa near 37S145E to 40S144E. Forecast 28S153E to low
1005 hPa near 37S150E to 39S147E at 160600UTC and near 28S157E to low 1003 hPa
near 37S154E to 40S151E at 161800UTC.
 
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 180nm of ridge: 
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.  

Remainder east of ridge, outside warning area: 
S quarter winds tending SW quarter north of 45S. Winds speeds 15/25 knots
increasing to 20/30 knots south of 40S and increasing to 25/33 knots within
120nm of warning area. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.  

Remainder west of ridge north of 40S, outside of warning area: 
N quarter winds east of trough tending SW quarter west of trough and clockwise
within 240nm of low. Wind speeds 15/25 knots increasing to 20/33 knots within
area west of trough east of 140E after 160600UTC and within 120nm of warning
area. Winds easing to 10/20 knots west of 135E. Moderate to rough seas easing
slight to moderate west of 135E. Low to moderate swell increasing moderate to
heavy west of 140E.

Remainder south of 40S, outside of warning area: 
NW quarter winds east of cold front [2] shifting SW quarter west of cold front
[2]. Wind speeds 15/25 knots increasing to 20/30 knots within 240nm of front [2]
and west of cold front [2] and grading to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning
area. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell  

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 300nm of cold fronts and
low. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms SW of front [2]. Scattered to
isolated showers remainder away from ridges. Visibility reducing below 2nm in
precipitation.
 
WEATHER MELBOURNE
 
The next routine forecast will be issued at 0900  UTC 16 September 2014