South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE
 
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology National Meteorological and Oceanographic
Centre
FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 30 JULY 2014
 
PLEASE BE AWARE 
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum
waves may be up to twice the height.

 
Part 1 Warnings
New Zealand Gale Warning 705 issued 300600UTC:
Over waters east of 160E.
Low 957hPa near 52S155E moving southeast 35kt.
In a belt 120nm wide centred on a line 44S160E 45S164E 47S167E:
Northwest 35kt developing next 6-12 hours.

Melbourne Storm Force Wind Warning 6 issued 300810UTC:
Area bounded by 34S122E 32.5S128E 33.5S133E 34S152E 43S160E 50S160E 50S101E
39S107E 34S122E.

 
Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge 21S148E 26S161E 32S170E, near stationary.

Cold front [1] 40S165E 45S166E 50S165E, east of area by 301800UTC.

Cold front [2] 34S107E 42S136E 50S141E. Forecast 32S123E 46S153E 50S152E at
301800UTC and 35S142E 44S152E 50S168E at 310600UTC.

Cold front [3] 40S101E 42S111E to low [3] 981 hPa near 46S120E to 50S124E.
Forecast 34S119E 38S127E to low [3] 974 hPa near 45S132E to 50S132E at 301800UTC
and 36S141E 44S145E to low [3] 970 hPa near 46S141E to 50S143E at 310600UTC.

Trough developing from south, forecast 43S111E 46S118E to low [4] 968 hPa near
50S124E at 301800UTC and 37S121E 41S130E to low 979 hPa near 45S132E at
310600UTC.

 
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 180nm of ridge and also northeast of ridge:
Variable winds to 15 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.

Remaining area, outside warning areas:
NW quarter winds, tending W quarter west of 150E, 15/25 knots grading to 25/33
knots within 120nm of warning areas. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy
swell.

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 300nm of fronts, lows and
trough. Scattered showers remainder west of front [1]. Visibility reducing below
2nm in precipitation.
 
WEATHER MELBOURNE
 
The next routine forecast will be issued at 2100  UTC 30 July 2014