South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast

IDY10210
SECURITE

High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
SOUTHEASTERN AREA: 28S/50S, 129E/170E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 26 June 2016

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Part 1 Warnings
New Zealand Gale Warning 597 issued 260644UTC:
Over waters east of 160E.
Low 985hPa near 41S167E moving east northeast 15kt.
1. Within 480 nautical miles of low in sector from northwest through northeast
to east: Clockwise 35kt at times.
2. Within 420 nautical miles of low in western quadrant: Clockwise 35kt easing
next 6-12 hours.
Gale areas moving with low.

Melbourne Gale Warning 7 issued 260605UTC:
Area bounded by 40S158E 43S158E 45S160E 36S160E 40S158E.

Melbourne Gale Warning 8 issued 260603UTC:
Area bounded by 40S114E 43S124E 46S146E 50S149E 50S107E 40S114E.

Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge 28S154E 39S148E 50S157E. Forecast 28S157E 38S154E 50S160E at 261800UTC
and 28S165E 42S159E 50S168E at 270600UTC.

Cold front [1] 31S131E 43S143E 50S149E. Forecast 34S138E 40S143E 45S151E
50S155E at 261800UTC and weakening by 270600UTC.

Cold front [2] approaching west of area. Forecast 43S129E 47S135E 50S136E at
261800UTC and 42S133E 47S144E 50S147E at 270600UTC.

Trough [1] from low [1] 984 hPa near 40S165E to 43S170E. Forecast 45S166E
43S170E at 261800UTC and east of area by 270000UTC.

Trough [2] 28S156E to low [2] 1009 hPa near 34S155E developing by 170600UTC.

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 120nm of ridge:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Moderate swell.

Remainder east of ridge outside warning areas:
SW quarter winds shifting S quarter south of 42S and SE quarter south of trough
[1]. Clockwise within 240nm of low. Wind speeds 15/25 knots grading to 25/33
knots within 180nm of warning area. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy
swell.

Remainder west of ridge outside warning area:
W quarter winds tending NW quarter east of cold front [1] until 261800UTC and
within 300nm east of cold front [2]. Winds turning N quarter east of trough
[2]. Wind speeds 15/25 knots increasing to 20/30 knots within 240nm east of
cold front [1] until 261800UTC and within 300nm east of cold front [2]. Wind
speeds further increasing to 25/33 knots within 60nm of warning area. Moderate
to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Rain areas, scattered showers and thunderstorms within 300nm of lows and cold
fronts/troughs. Scattered showers remainder west of cold front [2]. Visibility
reducing below 2nm in precipitation.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 21:00 UTC Sunday.