South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast


High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 10 February 2016

Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Gale Warning 2 issued 101802UTC:
Area bounded by 50S115E 46S117E 45S121E 47S124E 50S123E 50S115E.

Part 2 Situation at 1800 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Ridge [1] 30S128E to high [1] 1018 hPa near 40S129E to 41S143E, forecast
32S128E to high [1] 1019 hPa near 39S133E to 43S146E 43S156E at 110600UTC and
31S129E 40S138E to high [1] 1018 hPa near 41S140E to high 1[2] 019 hPa near
44S156E 46S164E at 111800UTC.

Ridge [2] 33S151E to high [3] 1018 hPa near 39S164E to 40S170E, forecast
34S152E to high [3] 1018 hPa near 39S165E to 40S170E at 110600UTC and 31S152E
37S156E to high [3] 1021 hPa near 40S167E to 39S170E at 111800UTC.

Ridge [3] 39S164E 50S166E, forecast 40S168E 48S170E at 110600UTC and 40S168E
44S170E at 111800UTC.

Cold front [1] near 47S118E 50S122E, forecast 48S133E 50S136E by 110600UTC and
south of area by 111800UTC.

Cold front [2] 47S145E 52S151E, forecast south of area by 110600UTC.

Trough 40S147E 41S153E to low 1010 hPa near 43S156E to 47S159E to low [2] 1006
hPa near 48S155E, forecast 39S145E 40S152E 41S157E to low [1] 1012 hPa near
44S161E 47S165E to low [2] 1008 hPa near 49S163E at 110600UTC and 37S149E
40S152E 41S160E 44S165E 49S170E to low [2] 1011 hPa near 51S170E at 111800UTC.

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 180nm of ridges and 240nm of highs and remainder east of ridge [3]:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell,
moderate to heavy at times south of 40S along ridge [3].

Remainder north of ridge [2]:
E quarter winds 10/20 knots with slight to moderate seas increasing 15/25 knots
north of line 29S152E 33S160E 35S170E with seas rising moderate to rough. Low
to moderate swell.

Clockwise winds 15/25 knots within 60nm of low [1] and 180nm of low [2]. W
quarter winds south of ridge [1], west of trough shifting NW quarter southeast
of cold fronts reaching 20/30- knots within 120nm of fronts, with winds tending
W/NW 15/25 knots by 111800UTC south of ridge [1]. NW quarter winds 15/25 knots
remainder east of trough. Moderate to rough seas. Winds easing NW quarter 10/20
knots east of trough, north of 40S and shifting S/SE remainder between ridge
[1] and trough with seas abating slight to moderate. Moderate swell east of
160E, Moderate to heavy swell south of 40S and low to moderate swell remainder.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 240nm of cold
fronts, trough and low [2] and within 90nm of low [1] Isolated showers
remainder away from ridges. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.


The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Thursday.