South Eastern Area High Seas Forecast


High Seas Forecast for South Eastern Metarea 10
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 27 July 2016

Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Storm Force Wind Warning 4 issued 271808UTC:
Area bounded by 50S149E 41S149E 37S160E 50S160E 50S149E.

Melbourne Gale Warning 1 issued 271800UTC:
Area bounded by 41S103E 46S130E 44S138E 45S148E 50S149E 50S120E 49S113E 41S103E.

Melbourne Gale Warning 5 issued 271813UTC:
Area bounded by 50S139E 47S135E 39S149E 38S160E 43S160E 50S146E 50S139E.

New Zealand Storm Force Warning 616 issued 271800UTC:
Over waters east of 160E.
1. In a belt 120 nautical miles wide centred on a line 47S157E 44S159E 43S161E:
Southwest 50kt developing next 6 hours. Storm and gale areas then moving
eastnortheast 40kt.
2. Outside area 1 and in a belt 480 nautical miles wide centred on a line
46S154E 40S162E 38S169E: Southwest 35kt developing next 6 hours. Gale area then
moving east 40kt.

Part 2 Situation at 1800 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.

Trough 28S164E 32S170E then east of area by 280600UTC.

Cold front [1] 38S160E 45S160E to low 979 hPa near 49S156E. Forecast 42S170E to
low 976 hPa near 47S164E to 50S166E at 280600UTC then east of area by 281800UTC.

Cold front [2] forecast 43S131E 47S141E 50S145E at 281000UTC.

Ridge forecast 32S152E 30S170E at 281800UTC.

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Within 180nm of ridge:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell.

Remainder outside warning areas:
W quarter winds tending NW quarter within 240nm east of cold fronts and SW
quarter within 360nm west of cold fronts. Wind speeds 10/20 knots increasing to
20/30 knots south of 33S and grading to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning
areas. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Areas of rain, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 180nm of
fronts and trough. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.


The next routine forecast will be issued at 09:00 UTC Thursday.