IDY10220
SECURITE
High Seas Forecast for Western Metarea 10
WESTERN AREA: 12/30S 90/125E, 30/50S 80/129E
Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC
For 24 hours commencing 2300 UTC 2 March 2015
PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Gale Warning 3 issued 021812UTC:
Area bounded by 37S080E 41S090E 45S094E 46S092E 45S085E 43S080E 37S080E.
Melbourne Gale Warning 5 issued 021828UTC:
Area bounded by 50S112E 47S112E 43S127E 43S140E 44S147E 46S153E 50S157E 50S112E.
Part 2 Situation at 1800 UTC
Refer to latest warnings.
Ridge [1] 30S089E to high 1029hPa near 36S099E to 37S129E. Forecast 30S090E to
high 1028hPa near 37S101E to 37S117E 35S129E at 030600UTC and 30S083E to high
1028hPa 38S105E to 35S129E at 031800UTC.
Ridge [2] from high 1029hPa near 36S099E to 50S090E. Forecast from high 1028hPa
near 37S101E to 50S098E at 030600UTC and from high 1028hPa 38S105E to 47S108E
50S109E at 031800UTC.
Cold front 45S116E 47S127E 51S126E. Forecast 43S120E 45S137E 47S140E 50S141E at
030600UTC.
Low 974hPa near 42S079E. Forecast low 982hPa near 45S084E at 030600UTC and low
991hPa 46S091E at 031800UTC.
Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.
Within 180nm of ridges and 240nm of high:
Variable winds below 20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell along ridge
[1] west of 100E, otherwise moderate to heavy swell.
North of line 12S095E 22S116E 20S125E:
Variable winds to 15 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell increasing to
moderate south of 18S.
Remainder north of ridge [1]:
SE quarter winds 15/25 knots increasing to 20/30 knots within area 26S114E
26S106E 30S106E 35S116E with moderate to rough seas. Low swell north of 18S,
moderate to heavy otherwise.
Remainder south of ridge [1], east of ridge [2], outside warning area:
NW quarter winds within 180nm east of front south of 46S, otherwise W quarter
winds. Wind speeds 20/30 knots grading to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning
area. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.
Remainder south of ridge [1], west of ridge [2], outside warning area:
N quarter winds becoming clockwise within 300nm of low. Wind speeds 20/30 knots
grading to 25/33 knots within 120nm of warning area. Moderate to rough seas.
Moderate to heavy swell.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms north of 12S and also within 240nm
of front and 300nm of low. Scattered showers remainder west of front east of
ridge [2]. Visibility reducing below 2nm in precipitation.
WEATHER MELBOURNE
The next routine forecast will be issued at 08:00 UTC Tuesday.
