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Workshop Program

Updated 15 September 2025

Day 1 (Monday 15 Sep 2025): Foundations & Observations

All times in AEST (UTC +10)

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Introduction (Chair: Simon Louis/Harald Richter)

13:00 Welcome and housekeeping Simon Louis
Bureau of Meteorology
13:05 Acknowledgement of Country Harald Richter
Bureau of Meteorology
13:10 Introduction from SIG Rob Argent
Bureau of Meteorology
13:20 Introduction from CSG Piero Chessa
Bureau of Meteorology

Session 1: The warning value chain - Setting the Scene (Chair: Harald Richter)

13:30 Does the shark bite? Ensuring excellent forecasts result in lives saved Brian Golding
Met Office
13:45 Enabling a customer driven research future Natasha Hinrichsen
Bureau of Meteorology
14:00 Embracing forecasting uncertainty in emergency management decision making Steve Muncaster
VIC SES
14:15 Climate Risk and Early Warning Systems (CREWS) for Asia-Pacific Yuriy Kuleshov
Bureau of Meteorology
14:30 Overview of EW4All progress and next steps Erica Allis
World Meteorological Organization
14:45 Integrating the Warning Value Chain into Post-Event Reviews at the Met Office Robert Neal
Met Office
Afternoon Tea (15:00 – 15:30)

Session 2: Observations, Infrastructure & Innovation (Chair: Belinda Trotta)

15:30 Augmenting Ensemble Data Assimilation with Machine Learning for High Resolution Observations Lucas Howard
University of Colorado
15:45 Radar and blended radar - satellite rainfall, wind, and hail analysis and nowcasting developments and plans Alain Protat
Bureau of Meteorology
16:00 Improving Satellite Derived Surface Solar Irradiance Services at the Bureau of Meteorology Vincent Villani
Bureau of Meteorology
16:15 The NextGen Rainfall Project: Building National, Hourly, Kilometre-Scale Precipitation Analysis and Forecast Products for Australia Andrew Frost
Bureau of Meteorology
16:30 Marine heatwaves: Monitoring, prediction and applications Claire Spillman
Bureau of Meteorology
16:45 ACCESS-A and National Analysis System -- km-scale Data Assimilation) Susan Rennie
Bureau of Meteorology
Icebreaker at Cliftons (17:00 – 18:30)
Closing Day 1 (18:30)

Day 2 (Tuesday 16 Sep 2025): Forecasting Science & Operational Capabilities

All times in AEST (UTC +10)

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Session 3: Advances in Forecasting and Nowcasting (Chair: Charmaine Franklin)

09:00 Machine Learning Weather Prediction at the Met Office David Walters
Met Office
09:15 Machine Learning weather forecasting at the Bureau: research and development, benefits to services, and future plans Catherine de Burgh-Day
Bureau of Meteorology
09:30 ACCESS-AE: a national, km-scale numerical weather prediction ensemble system Shaun Cooper
Bureau of Meteorology
09:45 Tropical Cyclone Veronica: a coupled model of a severe tropical cyclone over the North West Shelf Chris Bladwell
Bureau of Meteorology
10:00 AI technology in nowcasting Wai Kin Wong
Hong Kong Observatory
10:15 Machine learning for nowcasting – new results and upcoming plans Tennessee Leeuwenburg
Bureau of Meteorology
Morning Tea (10:30 – 11:00)

Session 4: Climate Services for Risk Reduction & Preparedness (Chair: Shoni Maguire)

11:00 Climate Risk Information to Inform Risk Reduction and Resilience: Lessons from the NCRA Judith Landsberg
ACS
11:30 National Hydrological Predictions Project Ulrike Bende-Michel
Bureau of Meteorology
11:45 Linking Hazard Data to the Personal-Level Integrated Data Asset Matt Beaty
ABS
12:00 The Insurance Data Asset: Informing Mitigation Action Joel Bertingshaw
ABS
12:15 Measuring climate risk at the local level Lochlan Morrissey
ACS
Lunch (12:30 – 13:30)

Session 5: Hazard-Specific Forecasting, Impact-Based Modelling & Risk Information (Chair: Caitlin Minney)

13:30 AQFx Evolution: Advancing Smoke Forecasting Capabilities through Scientific Innovation Fabienne Reisen
CSIRO
13:45 Climate Intelligence Summary for the 2025 AFAC Spring Outlook Catherine Ganter
Bureau of Meteorology
14:00 Wet summer 2023-2024 in observations and ACCESS-S2 forecasts Irina Rudeva
Bureau of Meteorology
14:15 Towards a long-range flood outlook for Australia Christopher Pickett-Heaps
Bureau of Meteorology
14:30 A bridge over troubled waters: linking sea levels to their impacts for coastal flood hazard analysis across days, months and decades Ben Hague
Bureau of Meteorology
14:45 An overview of research gaps and challenges for impact-based forecasts and warnings Sally Potter
Canary Innovation Ltd.
Afternoon Tea (15:00 – 15:30)

Session 6: Research and Innovation in the Warning Value Chain (Chair: Urooj Khan)

15:30 Australian Research Insights to Inform Warning Systems Andrew Gissing
NHRA
15:45 Advancing operational flood forecasting and early warning Prasantha Hapuarachchi and Jiawei Hou
Bureau of Meteorology
16:00 Using Forecast Ensemble Rainfall from Rainfields in an operational probabilistic flood forecasting service Chris Leahy
Bureau of Meteorology
16:15 Estimating warning levels based on flood frequency analysis for stations with short records Julien Lerat
CSIRO
16:30 Lightning talks (see Posters for details)
Closing Day 2 (17:00)

Day 3 (Wednesday 17 Sep 2025): Warning Communication, Inclusion & Response

All times in AEST (UTC +10)

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Session 7: Warning Design, Communication & Dissemination (Chair: Jane Golding)

09:00 How do people understand their risk in Australia? What does the Australian Community want and need from hazard warnings (DRRP) Carla Mooney
Bureau of Meteorology
9.15 Using Psychology and Behavioural Science to Keep People Safe Helen Roberts
Uk Met Office
09:30 Risk perception, situation awareness, and safety: The use of weather information in Antarctic and sub-Antarctic regions Victoria Heinrich
Bureau of Meteorology
09:45 Predictions in public: understanding the design, communication and dissemination of predictive maps to the public Chloe Begg
CFA
10:00 Visualising Uncertainty: Evidence informed guidance. How Visual Design can affect communication and decision-making Danielle Charlton and Mary-Ann Clive
GNS Science, NZ
10:15 Leveraging CAP for Warning Communication and Dissemination Eliot Christian
University of Wisconsin
Morning Tea (10:30 – 11:00)

Session 8: Emergency Services and Warning Users (Chair: Max Strack)

11:00 Lessons from the introduction of the Australian Warning System Tayissa Sweetlove
DFES
11:15 Closing the Port: using Bureau forecasts and warnings to inform operational decisions at the Port of Port Hedland during Severe Tropical Cyclone Zelia Behrouz Daeizadeh
Harbour Master East
11:30 An Overview of Recent CFA Research into Bushfire Response Operations Nick McCarthy
CFA
11:45 TBC Anthony Tregenza and Fyowna Norton
Red Cross
12:00 Enhanced tools necessary for managing a highly distributed solar photovoltaic electricity system Adrian Grantham
Australian Energy Market Operator
12:15 Current and future volcanic ash service collaboration between the volcanic ash advisory centre and Jetstar Jarrad Denman and Glenn Johnston
Bureau of Meteorology and Jetstar
Lunch (12:30 – 13:30)
13:30 Poster Session
Afternoon Tea (15:00 – 15:30)

Session 9: Equity, Inclusion & Cultural Relevance in Warnings (Chair: Carla Mooney)

15:30 TBC John Richardson
AIDR
15:45 Multilingual inclusive emergency communications: challenges and possibilities Raelene Wilding
Latrobe University
16:00 Beyond Barriers: International insights on inclusive and equitable warning systems Anni Fordham
DFES
16:15 How remote First Nations people are accessing emergency and weather information: Learnings from Mapping the Digital Gap research 2022-24 Daniel Featherstone
RMIT
16:30 Inclusive Warnings: Lessons from People with Aphasia Sam Harvey and Scott Harding
QARC, UQ
16:45 Nothing about us without us Rebecca Cason
QDN
Closing Day 3 (17:00)
Workshop dinner (invite only) (17:30)

Day 4 (Thursday 18 Sep 2025): Evaluating, Learning & Strengthening

All times in AEST (UTC +10)

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Session 10: Monitoring, Evaluation & Learning (Chair: David Wilke)

09:00 Public Perceptions and Behaviour in Response to Weather Warnings: A UK Perspective Sarah Jenkins
Met Office
09:15 Testbeds and Operational Meteorologist-Led O2R Activities at the Met Office Dan Suri
Met Office
09:30 Objective evaluation of warning services based on risk matrices: A case study for TC Alfred Rob Taggart
Bureau of Meteorology
09:45 Developing a meteorological case study framework for rapid post-event learning Harvey Ye
Bureau of Meteorology
10:00 Post event debriefs and lessons management Jack Dawes
Bureau of Meteorology
10:15 From knowledge to action: learning for effective implementation Seona Meharg
CSIRO
Morning Tea (10:30 – 11:00)

Session 11: Strengthening Institutional and Systemic Capacity (Chair: Simon Louis)

11:00 Learning What we Don't Know: Establishing a Baseline of US Weather Perceptions with the WxSurvey and Tornado Tales Sean Ernst
IPPRA/University of Oklahoma
11:15 The Role of the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed in Operational Model Implementations Israel Jirak
NOAA/NWS/SPC
11:30 Enhancing New Capability Through Training and Assessment James Pescott
Bureau of Meteorology Training Centre
11:45 Australian Fire Danger Rating System – A National Collaboration Alex Holmes
NSW Rural Fire Service
12:00 Machine Learning for Anomaly Detection using Administrative Data Sources Adam Leinweber
ABS
12:15 How the Bureau is supporting work to strengthen APRA’s understanding of climate change impacts on the financial sector Ivan Chan
APRA
Lunch (12:30 – 13:30)

Session 12: Interactive Mapping & Value Chain Evaluation: Case Study Tropical Cyclone Alfred (Chair: Carla Mooney)

13:30 Forecast Process – TC Alfred Lauren Pattie
Bureau of Meteorology
13:45 Warning creation and communications Kimba Wong
Bureau of Meteorology
14:00 Gold Coast Public Information and Warnings Strategy – Tropical Cyclone Alfred Mark Ryan
Gold Coast Council
14:15 Warning, Water, Response: Queensland Police Operations during the crossing of Severe Tropical Cyclone Alfred Amanda Rosman
Queensland Police
14:30 Panel Discussion Beth Ebert
Afternoon Tea (15:00 – 15:30)

Session 13: Panel discussion - Partnership and Research in the warning value chain (Chair: Elizabeth Johnston)

15:30 Panel Discussion Sarah Mizza (NHRA), Steve Muncaster (Vic SES), Ailie Gallant (W21C), Karl Braganza (Bureau of Meteorology), Melita Keywood (CSIRO)
16:30 Workshop wrap-up and closing Simon Louis, Harald Richter and Bertrand Timbal
Bureau of Meteorology
Closing Day 4 (17:00)