Channel Forecast

View the current warnings for Tasmania

Forecast issued at 10:00 am EDT on Wednesday 4 February 2026.

Weather Situation

A high pressure system in the Tasman Sea extends a ridge over Tasmania. A northwesterly flow will build during Wednesday, ahead of a cold front expected to cross the state overnight. The front brings a westerly flow which will persist over the state during Thursday and Friday. On Saturday a broad trough extends down from the mainland.

Forecast for Wednesday until midnight

Winds
North to northeasterly below 10 knots tending southeast to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the middle of the day then tending northwesterly in the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 50% chance of showers in the evening.

Thursday 5 February

Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots turning westerly 15 to 20 knots early in the morning.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.

Friday 6 February

Winds
Northwesterly 10 to 15 knots.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy.

Saturday 7 February

Winds
West to northwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting east to southeasterly below 10 knots during the evening.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 70% chance of showers.

Please be awareWind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height.

The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:05 pm EDT Wednesday.

Product IDT12430