Channel Forecast

View the current warnings for Tasmania

Forecast issued at 10:34 pm EST on Monday 20 July 2026.

Weather Situation

A high pressure centre over Victoria is moving into the Tasman Sea, directing a northwesterly flow over Tasmania. A weak trough is expected to move over the state on Monday evening into Tuesday. A strong cold front is forecast to move over the state from the west late Wednesday and another cold front follows on Thursday, bringing strong west to southwesterly winds across the state.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
North to northwesterly below 10 knots.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres.
Weather
Cloudy.

Tuesday 21 July

Winds
North to northwesterly about 10 knots.
Seas
Below 0.5 metres.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 90% chance of showers.

Wednesday 22 July

Winds
Northerly 10 to 15 knots turning west to northwesterly during the morning.
Seas
Below 1 metre.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers, with possible small hail in the afternoon and evening.

Thursday 23 July

Winds
West to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots tending west to southwesterly 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.
Seas
Around 1 metre, increasing to 1.5 to 2.5 metres during the evening.
Weather
Cloudy. Near 100% chance of showers, with possible small hail.

Friday 24 July

Winds
West to southwesterly 15 to 25 knots tending west to northwesterly 15 to 20 knots during the morning.
Seas
1.5 to 2.5 metres, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Cloudy. 95% chance of showers, with possible small hail in the morning.

Please be awareWind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum waves can be twice the forecast height.

The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:00 am EST Tuesday.

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