Forecast issued at 4:05 pm EST on Sunday 1 May 2016.
A low pressure system is intensifying to the northwest of Tasmania on an approaching cold front this morning. The low is expected to cross the state during the day and then deepen as it moves away to the southeast of Tasmania this evening. Northwesterly winds will increase over Tasmania on Monday ahead of another cold front expected to reach the west coast late Monday, then cross the state Tuesday morning. A relative ridge will then cross on Wednesday, as another front approaches from the west.
Forecast for Sunday until midnight
Gale Warning for Sunday for Storm Bay
- Southwesterly 25 to 40 knots.
- 3 to 4 metres.
- Cloudy. 95% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm early this evening.
Monday 2 May
Strong Wind Warning for Monday for Storm Bay
- Westerly 25 to 30 knots turning north to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots before dawn then becoming northerly 25 to 30 knots in the late afternoon.
- 2 to 2.5 metres, decreasing to 1 to 2 metres during the morning.
- Partly cloudy. 30% chance of a shower at night.
Tuesday 3 May
- North to northwesterly 15 to 25 knots becoming northwesterly 25 to 30 knots in the middle of the day then decreasing to 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon.
- Around 1 metre, decreasing below 1 metre during the morning, then increasing to around 1 metre around midday.
- Cloudy. 90% chance of rain.
Wednesday 4 May
- West to northwesterly 20 to 30 knots turning northerly 15 to 20 knots during the evening.
- 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
- Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.
Thursday 5 May
- Northerly 15 to 25 knots.
- 1 to 1.5 metres.
- Partly cloudy.
Please be awareWind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. Wind warnings are issued for today and tomorrow and describe the highest category of wind warning for that day.
The next routine forecast will be issued at 5:00 am EST Monday.