Forecast issued at 5:10 am EST on Thursday 29 September 2016.
An intense low pressure system centred just to the west of Adelaide will drift eastwards and gradually weaken today, moving over western Victoria late this afternoon. The system is likely to become more complex tonight with more than one low pressure centre likely. The system will then drift southwards across Tasmania by Friday night resulting in a westerly airflow across Bass Strait on Saturday. The next cold front is expected to reach western Victorian coastal waters late on Sunday.
Forecast for Thursday until midnight
- East to northeasterly 15 to 20 knots turning north to northwesterly late morning then becoming north to northeasterly about 10 knots tonight.
- Cloudy. 95% chance of rain.
Friday 30 September
- North to northeasterly about 10 knots becoming south to southwesterly in the early afternoon then becoming west to northwesterly in the evening.
- Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers.
Saturday 1 October
- Westerly 15 to 20 knots becoming northwesterly below 10 knots during the evening.
- Partly cloudy. 20% chance of a shower.
Sunday 2 October
- Variable about 10 knots becoming northerly 10 to 15 knots during the day then tending northeasterly during the evening.
- Mostly sunny. 30% chance of a shower.
Please be awareWind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
The next routine forecast will be issued at 4:40 pm EST Thursday.