POAMA Great Barrier Reef SSTA Forecasts

Spatial Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Forecast

IDYOC046

The following plot shows the latest Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly (SSTA) forecasts from the Bureau of Meteorology's seasonal prediction system POAMA (Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia) for the next six months in the Great Barrier Reef (GBR), Australia.

This POAMA (v1.5) forecast is generated operationally by the National Meteorological and Oceanographic Centre (NMOC) and updated every day. The forecast presented is based on the ensemble mean of the last 30 daily forecasts. SST anomalies are calculated as the difference between SST values and the 1982-2006 climatology, the monthly long term mean SST.

Further reading

• Spillman C. and Alves O., 2009: Dynamical seasonal prediction of summer sea surface temperatures in the Great Barrier Reef. Coral Reefs, 28, 197-206.
• Spillman C.M., Alves O., and Hudson D.A., 2010: Real-time seasonal SST predictions for the Great Barrier Reef during the summer of 2009/2010. CAWCR Res. Lett., 4, 11-19.
• Spillman C.M., Alves O., Hudson D.A. and Charles A.N., 2009: POAMA SST predictions for the Great Barrier Reef: Summer 2008/2009. CAWCR Res. Lett., 2, 30-34.

For further information visit POAMA group.

Please be aware that all POAMA forecasts are subject to the Bureau of Meteorology's copyright and disclaimer.