Murray–Darling Basin
17.10 River and floodplain leakage, evaporation and errors

Supporting information

The volumetric value for the line item for the 2012–13 year was 14,499,374 ML. The line item represents river and floodplain losses including evaporation and seepage, and gauging errors in river inflow and outflow measurements in the Murray–Darling Basin (MDB) region. A breakdown of line item volume is provided in the following table.

 

River and floodplain leakage, evaporation and errors in the MDB region for the 2012–13 year
Water resource plan area

Sustainable diversion limit area

State

  Volume (ML) for the 2012–13 year 

Code

Name

SW20 Warrego–Paroo–Nebine SS29 Paroo  Qld

2,352,010

SS28 Warrego  Qld
SS27 Nebine  Qld
SW19 Condamine–Balonne SS26 Condamine–Balonne  Qld
SW18 Moonie SS25 Moonie  Qld
SW12 Barwon–Darling Watercourse SS19 Barwon–Darling Watercourse  NSW
SW13 NSW Intersecting Streams SS17 NSW Intersecting Streams NSW
SW17 Qld Border Rivers SS24 Qld Border Rivers  Qld

1,068,762

SW16 NSW Border Rivers SS23 NSW Border Rivers  NSW
SW15 Gwydir SS22 Gwydir NSW

851,718

SW14 Namoi SS21 Namoi  NSW

869,392

SW11 Macquarie–Castlereagh SS20 Macquarie-Castlereagh  NSW

1,705,147

Northern Basin

6,847,029

SW10 Lachlan SS16 Lachlan  NSW

1,502,628

SW9 Murrumbidgee  SS15 Murrumbidgee  NSW NSW

882,713

SW1 ACT SS1 ACT ACT
SW8 NSW Murray and Lower Darling SS18 Lower Darling  NSW

4,883,134

SS14 NSW Murray NSW
SW2 Vic. Murray SS3 Kiewa Vic.
SS2 Vic. Murray  Vic.
SW4 Wimmera–Mallee  SS9 Wimmera–Mallee  Vic.
SW5 SA Murray Region SS10 SA non-prescribed areas  SA
SW6 SA River Murray SS11 SA Murray SA
SW7 Eastern Mount Lofty Ranges  SS13 Eastern Mount Lofty Ranges  SA
SS12 Marne–Saunders  SA
SW3 Northern Victoria SS4 Ovens  Vic.

383,870

SS5 Broken  Vic.
SS6 Goulburn Vic.
SS7 Campaspe  Vic.
SS8 Loddon Vic.
Southern Basin

7,652,345

Whole MDB region

14,499,374

 

Volumes for the line item were based on hydrological boundaries of river catchments within the region.  These volumes were not available individually for some of water resources planning areas. Therefore, the volumes were provided in the previous table individually for some of the water resource plan areas and as clusters for the others.

Quantification approach

Data source

There was no separate data source for the line item. Values of other line items for the MDB region water account were used as the inputs for the calculations.

Provided by

Bureau of Meteorology (the Bureau).

Method

A water balance approach was adopted in calculating the volumes for the line item. The calculations were based on hydrological boundaries of river catchments within the region. Total inflows less total outflows and changes in surface water storage for surface water in a reporting unit (a water resource plan area) was considered as the river loss (river and floodplain leakage, evaporation, and errors) for the same unit. Details of the calculation method applied in the water balance approach are as follows.

The line item value for the water resource plan area (stated in the table provided under 'Supporting information') for which necessary details are available, is equal to:

 

I – O – ΔS

where:

I is total inflow to the water resource plan area

O is total outflow from the water resource plan area

ΔS is change in total surface water storage during the 2012–13 year in the water resource plan area.

 

Total inflow to the water resource plan area was calculated using the following equation:

 

I =  R1+R2 + P +Qi

where:

R1 is rainfall runoff to surface water (line item 9.4)

R2 is return flows (line items 9.3, 9.5, 9.9 and 9.11)

P is precipitation on surface water (line item 9.1)

Qi is inflow from upstream water resource plan areas (estimated using relevant streamflow gauge data, not applicable to all water resource plan areas).

 

Total outflow (O) was calculated using the following equation:


O =  D+E +Qo

where:

D is diversions from surface water (line items 17.3, 17.5 to 17.8, 17.11 and 17.12)

E is evaporation from surface water (line item 17.1)

Qo is outflow to downstream water resource plan areas or sea (estimated using relevant streamflow gauge data, not applicable to all water resource plan areas).

 

Change in surface water storage (ΔS) in the water resource plan area is the difference between total storage volumes at the end and beginning of the 2012–13 year.  Storage information is available in line items 1.1, 1.3, 1.4 and 1.10.

Assumptions, limitations, caveats and approximations

Assumptions made for the line items (see the above Method for input variables) from which values were used as input variables may affect the accuracy of the calculations.

A water balance approach was adopted in calculations (total inflows less total outflows and changes in surface water storage was considered as the volumes for the line item).

At present, attempts to calculate the line item value on small spatial units are limited by the resolution of available data particularly diversion and return data at present. The Bureau is looking to implement the AWRA-R model over the next 2–3 years, which will be able to better attribute some of the inputs for the calculation and attribute these inputs to individual river reaches.

Uncertainty information

The uncertainty estimate was not quantified.

Comparative year

Restatements made for the 2011–12 year in a number of line items, which are inputs to this line item, resulted in the restatement of the 2011–12 year volume. 

The same water balance approach applied for the 2012–13 year was used to calculate the 2011–12 year value for the 2013 Account. Therefore restatements associated with all line items (related to inflows, outflows, and storage volumes that are inputs in the water balance calculation) contributed to the difference between the  2011–12 year value calculated for the 2013 Account and reported for the 2012 Account. The major contributor for this difference was the change made to reported (for the 2012 Account) and recalculated value for line item 9.4 'Runoff to surface water' for the 2011–12 year. The change for that line item was 5,985,191 ML (9% decrease) due to a prior period error and the choice of the AWRA-L v3.0 model instead of the previously used AWRA-L v2.0 for the calculations.

The line item shows an decrease of the recalculated volume by 5,375,897 ML (13% change) for the 2011–12 year. The respective volumes associated with the change are detailed in the following table.

 

Restatement of comparative year information made for the line item 17.10 River and floodplain leakage, evaporation and errors
Segment

2013 Account volume for the 2011–12 year (ML)

2012 Account volume for the 2011–12 year (ML)

Difference due to prior period errors and various other reasons(ML)

Northern Basin

19,638,619

24,648,167

(5,009,548)

Southern Basin

17,942,623

18,308,972

(366,349)

Whole region

37,581,242

42,957,139

(5,375,897)