Canberra in October 2015: Warmest October days on record

October 2015 was the warmest on record for maximum temperatures at Canberra Airport, and the second-warmest for minimum temperatures. Temperatures were persistently warm throughout the month, with an early-season heatwave at the start of the month. Rainfall was below average.

  • Warmest October on record for maximum temperatures
  • Second-warmest October on record for minimum temperatures
  • Heatwave breaks early-season temperature records
  • Longest spell of nights above 5 °C on record for October
  • Below-average rainfall

Maximum temperatures were the warmest on record for October at Canberra Airport, 5.4 °C above average. Temperatures were well above average throughout the month, with 17 days reaching at least 25 °C, well above the average of 3 days and the previous record of 14 days. The warmest temperatures occurred at the start of the month, when a severe heatwave affected much of southern Australia (see Special Climate Statement 52). Temperatures reached 31.7 °C on the 5th and 31.8 °C on the 6th, both early-season records; no day with temperatures above 31 °C has previously been recorded earlier than 13 October.

Minimum temperatures were also well above average at Canberra Airport (+2.2 °C), the second-warmest October on record following October 1973. Only four nights recorded temperatures of 5 °C or lower, the second-fewest on record (the average is 13 nights). There were 21 consecutive nights above 5 °C between the 4th and 24th, the longest spell of warm October nights on record.

Rainfall was below average in Canberra during October, with only four days recording at least 1 mm of rain (the average is eight days). Most of the rain was associated with thunderstorms on the 9th, with small hail reported at Tuggeranong, as well as showers across the ACT on the 21st.

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Extremes in October 2015
Hottest day 32.7 °C at Tuggeranong (Isabella Plains) AWS on the 5th
Warmest days on average 24.8 °C at Canberra Airport
24.8 °C at Tuggeranong (Isabella Plains) AWS
Coolest days on average 16.5 °C at Mount Ginini AWS
Coldest day 8.1 °C at Mount Ginini AWS on the 23rd
Coldest night -2.0 °C at Mount Ginini AWS on the 28th
Coolest nights on average 6.2 °C at Mount Ginini AWS
Warmest nights on average 9.0 °C at Tuggeranong (Isabella Plains) AWS
Warmest night 15.5 °C at Tuggeranong (Isabella Plains) AWS on the 21st
Warmest on average overall 16.9 °C at Tuggeranong (Isabella Plains) AWS
Coolest on average overall 11.3 °C at Mount Ginini AWS
Wettest overall 31.4 mm at Tuggeranong (Isabella Plains) AWS
Driest overall 17.8 mm at Canberra (Australian National Botanic Gardens
Wettest day 17.4 mm at Tharwa General Store on the 10th
Strongest wind gust 67 km/h at Mount Ginini AWS on the 6th

Record highest October temperature
New record
(°C)
Old
record
Years of
record
Average for
October
Tuggeranong (Isabella Plains) AWS 32.7 on the 5th 31.8 on the 13th in 2006 20 20.8

Record highest October daily minimum temperature
New record
(°C)
Old
record
Years of
record
Average for
October
Tuggeranong (Isabella Plains) AWS 15.5 on the 21st 15.4 on the 3rd in 1998 20 6.2

Summary statistics for October 2015
Maximum temperatures
(°C)
Minimum temperatures
(°C)
Rainfall
(millimetres)
Mean for
October
2015
Diff
from
average
Highest for
October
2015
Mean for
October
2015
Diff
from
average
Lowest for
October
2015
Total for
October
2015
Average
for
October
Rank of
October
2015
Fraction of
October
average
Canberra Airport 24.8 +5.4 31.8 6th 8.3 +2.2 0.9 2nd 26.6 62.4 low 43%
Mount Ginini AWS 16.5 +3.9 23.3 5th 6.2 +3.4 -2.0 28th 19.8 69.7 v low 28%
Tuggeranong (Isabella Plains) AWS 24.8 +4.0 32.7 5th 9.0 +2.8 2.4 2nd 31.4 52.5 low 60%
Note: Observations for “Canberra Airport” are taken from the current site (Bureau number 070351), which opened in late 2008.
Comparisons are made against data from the previous site Canberra Airport Comparison (070014), which ran from 1939 to 2010.

Daily maximum temperatures for October 2015
12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
Canberra Airport23.124.926.528.331.731.818.620.027.127.422.125.021.326.128.530.127.821.627.629.523.819.016.723.126.527.017.422.525.325.022.5
Mount Ginini AWS13.818.920.421.123.322.217.314.818.818.613.516.012.317.819.621.218.017.019.219.911.19.48.114.017.917.410.614.915.415.812.0
Tuggeranong (Isabella Plains) AWS23.324.827.528.532.731.517.926.027.023.025.220.526.028.630.027.321.328.129.123.819.716.522.426.526.717.322.324.924.721.0
Values are the maximum temperature, usually in the 24 hours from 9 am on the day indicated,
and typically occurred in the afternoon of that day.
Temperatures coloured according to their difference
from the long-term average for the period
-10.0 -9.0 -8.0 -7.0 -6.0 -5.0 -4.0 -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 +1.0 +2.0 +3.0 +4.0 +5.0 +6.0 +7.0 +8.0 +9.0 +10.0 °C Grey outline marks highest
and lowest for the period

Daily minimum temperatures for October 2015
12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
Canberra Airport11.10.92.86.79.16.87.48.57.65.96.57.711.311.07.78.211.111.512.19.415.012.49.86.84.77.69.68.05.25.08.9
Mount Ginini AWS2.65.08.99.112.113.312.2-0.51.96.96.94.43.74.78.310.311.06.18.19.89.15.42.62.56.39.6-1.5-2.05.04.47.0
Tuggeranong (Isabella Plains) AWS11.52.43.57.110.56.77.99.88.57.27.58.610.610.68.18.413.110.514.110.915.512.810.79.35.49.29.38.45.27.09.5
Values are the minimum temperature, usually in the 24 hours to 9 am on the day indicated,
and typically occurred that morning.
Temperatures coloured according to their difference
from the long-term average for the period
-10.0 -9.0 -8.0 -7.0 -6.0 -5.0 -4.0 -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 +1.0 +2.0 +3.0 +4.0 +5.0 +6.0 +7.0 +8.0 +9.0 +10.0 °C Grey outline marks highest
and lowest for the period

Daily rainfall for October 2015
12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
Canberra (Australian National Botanic Ga - - - - - - - - - 3.4 - - - - - - - 1.4 - - 3.8 9.2 - - - - - - - - -
Canberra Airport - - - - - - - - 0.2 8.6 - - - - - - - 1.8 0.2 - 2.6 13.0 0.2 - -
- - - - -
Mount Ginini AWS - - - - - - - - - 0.6 1.6 0.4 - - - - - 2.6 0.2 - 8.8 5.6 - - - - - - - - -
Nicholls (Gungahlin Lakes) - - - - - - - - - 3.0 - 0.8 - - - - - 2.8 - - 3.0 14.2








Tharwa General Store - - - - - - - - - 17.4 - - - - - - - - - - 5.0 8.8 - - - - - - - - -
Torrens (Darke St) - - - - - - - - - 8.0 - - - - - - - 2.8












Tuggeranong (Isabella Plains) AWS - - - - - - - - 0.2 10.0 - - - - - - - 2.2 - - 5.2 13.0 0.8 - - - - - - - -
Most values are the precipitation in the 24 hours to 9 am on the day indicated. Days marked with → are part of a longer accumulation, which is shown on the final day.
Values over 100 mm have been rounded to the nearest whole millimetre.
Days marked with - have a rainfall report of zero; days left blank have no rainfall report (which often indicates no rain fell).
Rainfalls coloured
according to the amount
0 1.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 25.0 50.0 100 150 200 300 400 600 millimetres

Notes

The Monthly climate summary lists the main features of the weather in Canberra using the most timely and accurate information available on the date of publication; it will generally not be updated. Later information, including data that has had greater opportunity for quality control, will be presented in the Monthly Weather Review.

A climate summary is generally published on the first working day of each month.

This statement has been prepared based on information available at 9 am on Monday 2 November 2015. Some checks have been made on the data, but it is possible that results will change as new information becomes available.

Averages for individual sites are long-term means based on observations from all available years of record, which vary widely from site to site. They are not shown for sites with less than 10 years of record, as they cannot then be calculated reliably.
The median is sometimes more representative than the mean of long-term average rain.

Observations for “Canberra Airport” are taken from the current site (Bureau number 070351), which opened in late 2008.
Comparisons are made against data from the previous site Canberra Airport Comparison (070014), which ran from 1939 to 2010.

The Rank indicates how rainfall this time compares with the climate record for the site, based on the decile ranking (very low rainfall is in decile 1, low in decile 2 or 3, average in decile 4 to 7, high in decile 8 or 9 and very high is in decile 10).
The Fraction of average shows how much rain has fallen this time as a percentage of the long-term mean.

The ACORN-SAT dataset is used for temperature area averages.

Further information

Media
(03) 9669 4057
Enquiries

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