Victoria in October 2020: wetter than average, warm nights

October was wetter than average in much of the state, with parts of eastern and some pockets of western Victoria much wetter than average. Daytime temperatures were generally close to average across the state, while night-time temperatures were mostly above average, and much above average in central and eastern Victoria.

Wetter than average

  • It was a wetter than average month in much of the state, with parts of eastern and some pockets of western Victoria very much wetter than average.
  • Averaged across the state, October rainfall total was 34% above the long-term mean of 64.6 mm.
  • A cold front moved across Victoria on the 4th, bringing moderate falls mostly to the southern parts of the state.
  • An inland low pressure system directed moderate to heavy rainfall and showers across Victoria on the 8th and 9th; some sites in the south-west and north-east recorded to 9 am on the 9th two day rainfall totals of more than 80 mm.
  • Some sites had their highest October daily rainfall on record on the 8th and 9th.
  • Mid-month, a low pressure system developed northwest of Victoria, and moved to the southeast across the state, bringing more rainfall to eastern Victoria on the 17th and 18th.
  • The highest daily rainfall total in Victoria this October was 73.6 mm, recorded at Falls Creek on the 17th.
  • A cold front and an associated low pressure trough, brought widespread rainfall on the 24th and 25th with many sites recording daily rainfall totals between 15 and 30 mm, while a moist easterly flow resulted in showers over parts of Victoria in the following days.
  • Some sites had their highest total October rainfall on record or highest total October rainfall since at least 1995.
  • With 391.6 mm, the wettest place in Victoria this October was Falls Creek (Rocky Valley).
  • Averaged across the state, the year-to-date rainfall total was around 598 mm, 6% above the long-term average.

Warm nights

  • Daytime temperatures were close to average across the state away from the north-east.
  • Victoria's mean maximum temperature was 0.60 °C above the long-tem October average.
  • It was warm across Victoria on the 3rd and 4th, ahead of the approaching frontal system, with both daytime and night-time temperatures more than 5 degrees above the October average.
  • The highest daily maximum temperature recorded in Victoria this month was 37.1 °C at Walpeup Research on the 4th; the same site recorded the state's highest daily minimum temperature this October of 21.7 °C, also on the 4th.
  • Victoria's mean minimum temperature was 1.62 °C above average, the 3-rd warmest on record.
  • Some sites had their highest October mean daily minimum temperature on record or highest October mean daily minimum temperature since at least 1992
  • There were some cool nights scattered throughout the month; the coldest temperature in the state this October was -5.2 °C, recorded at Mount Hotham on the 25th, following the passage of a cold front.
  • Victoria's mean maximum temperature for the January to October period was 0.11 °C above average, the lowest since 2003.
  • Further information

    Media
    (03) 9669 4057

    Extremes in October 2020
    Hottest day 37.1 °C at Walpeup Research on the 4th
    Warmest days on average 24.3 °C at Mildura Airport
    24.3 °C at Swan Hill Aerodrome
    24.3 °C at Walpeup Research
    Coolest days on average 8.7 °C at Mount Hotham
    Coldest day -0.1 °C at Mount Baw Baw on the 25th
    Coldest night -5.2 °C at Mount Hotham on the 25th
    Coolest nights on average 2.3 °C at Mount Hotham
    Warmest nights on average 12.8 °C at Gabo Island Lighthouse
    Warmest night 21.7 °C at Walpeup Research on the 4th
    Warmest on average overall 17.8 °C at Mildura Airport
    Coolest on average overall 5.5 °C at Mount Hotham
    Wettest overall 391.6 mm at Falls Creek (Rocky Valley)
    Wettest day 73.6 mm at Falls Creek on the 17th
    Strongest wind gust 128 km/h at Mount Hotham on the 8th

    Maps
    ObservedAnomalyDecile rank
    Total
    rainfall
    Map of Rainfall totals Map of Percentage of normal rainfall Map of Rainfall deciles
    Mean
    daily
    maximum
    temperatures
    Map of Mean maximum temperature Map of Anomaly in mean maximum temperature Map of Decile rank of mean maximum temperature
    Mean
    daily
    minimum
    temperatures
    Map of Mean minimum temperature Map of Anomaly in mean minimum temperature Map of Decile rank of mean minimum temperature

    Click on a map to show it full size in a pop-up window


    Record highest October daily rainfall
    New record
    (mm)
    Old
    record
    Years of
    record
    Merino 56.0 on the 8th 45.0 on the 16th in 1908 128
    Mortlake Racecourse 29.6 on the 9th 28.0 on the 24th in 2000 27
    Patyah (Booroopki) 30.2 on the 8th 25.4 on the 8th in 2005 23
    Warrnambool Airport NDB 55.6 on the 8th 42.2 on the 23rd in 2013 23
    Balook 32.6 on the 28th 31.0 on the 14th in 2014 22
    Sheans Creek (Heronslea) 31.6 on the 9th 25.8 on the 31st in 2010 20



    Record highest October total rainfall
    New record
    (mm)
    Old
    record
    Years of
    record
    Average for
    October
    Portland (Cashmore Airport) 126.4 123.4 in 2013 39 61.6
    Falls Creek 377.4 271.2 in 2001 27 126.1
    Mortlake Racecourse 101.6 96.0 in 2003 27 51.8
    Cape Nelson Lighthouse 112.4 105.2 in 2001 26 49.6
    Mount Hotham 387.6 360.9 in 2000 26 129.3
    Lima East (Charnwood) 171.4 158.6 in 2010 23 67.6
    Warrnambool Airport NDB 137.2 129.2 in 2013 23 65.1
    Balook 222.0 206.4 in 2016 21 113.3
    Bullumwaal 164.6 153.8 in 2010 20 72.4
    Gooram (Morella) 132.8 130.4 in 2010 20 49.0

    Highest October total rainfall for at least 20 years
    Observed
    (mm)
    Most recent
    higher
    Average for
    October
    Stratford 107.4 112.4 in 1975* 52.7
    Jeparit 86.2 119.1 in 1975* 35.8
    Ararat Prison 110.4 147.0 in 1986 55.8
    Mount Best (Upper Toora) 176.8 211.6 in 1989* 106.0
    Creightons Creek (Baronga (Creighton's C 127.0 162.4 in 1993 71.6
    Ensay 130.0 131.4 in 1993 69.2
    Lake Eildon 139.8 144.8 in 1993 77.3
    Cann River 150.0 188.0 in 1995 82.5
    Combienbar AWS 186.6 203.6 in 1995 92.4
    Erica (Parkers Corner) 178.4 204.8 in 1995 110.5
    Mount Moornapa 174.0 223.2 in 1995 82.3
    Mount Tamboritha 159.6 183.4 in 1990* 78.2
    Mallacoota 138.4 188.8 in 1995* 78.7
    Murderers Hill 192.0 204.6 in 1995* 78.5
    Briagolong 113.2 133.6 in 1995* 60.1

    * note: there are gaps in the historical record at this site, so it is possible a higher value has gone unreported




    Record highest October mean daily minimum temperature
    New record
    (°C)
    Old
    record
    Years of
    record
    Average for
    October
    East Sale 10.5 9.9 in 1963 75 7.5
    Bairnsdale Airport 10.4 9.1 in 2015 40 7.5
    Morwell (Latrobe Valley Airport) 9.3 8.9 in 2015 36 7.5
    Cerberus 10.1 9.9 in 2011 28 8.8
    Coldstream 8.9 8.1 in 2011 26 6.6

    Highest October mean daily minimum temperature for at least 20 years
    Observed
    (°C)
    Most recent
    higher
    Average for
    October
    Rutherglen Research 8.1 8.7 in 1973 6.2
    Mortlake Racecourse 8.0 8.4 in 1992 6.4
    Wangaratta Aero 8.4 9.3 in 1992 6.4



    Summary statistics for October 2020
    Maximum temperatures
    (°C)
    Minimum temperatures
    (°C)
    Rainfall
    (millimetres)
    Mean for
    October
    2020
    Diff
    from
    average
    Highest for
    October
    2020
    Mean for
    October
    2020
    Diff
    from
    average
    Lowest for
    October
    2020
    Total for
    October
    2020
    Average
    for
    October
    Rank of
    October
    2020
    Fraction of
    October
    average
    North Mallee (district 76)
    Mildura Airport 24.3 +0.1 36.6 4th 11.2 +1.4 6.2 19th 59.0 28.7 high 206%
    Ouyen (Post Office) 24.1 +0.2 36.6 4th 10.2 +1.3 5.2 25th 55.0 34.0 high 162%
    Walpeup Research 24.3 +0.9 37.1 4th 10.0 +1.1 4.5 25th 56.6 32.6 high 174%
    South Mallee (district 77)
    Hopetoun Airport 23.3 -1.6 35.6 4th 8.4 +0.9 2.3 1st 45.2 23.7 high 191%
    Swan Hill Aerodrome 24.3 -0.1 37.0 4th 9.5 +1.5 3.1 1st 54.2 22.3 high 243%
    North Wimmera (district 78)
    Kellalac (Warracknabeal Airport) 21.9   32.3 3rd 7.5   1.8 1st 54.8
    Nhill Aerodrome 21.1 -1.6 31.5 2nd 8.1 +0.8 2.6 6th 58.0 30.1 high 193%
    South Wimmera (district 79)
    Edenhope Airport 19.1 -1.7 28.4 2nd 8.1 +0.4 2.9 7th 68.0 36.3 high 187%
    Grampians (Mount William) 11.8 -1.2 21.2 2nd 3.6 -0.4 -2.1 25th 147.8 79.8 high 185%
    Horsham Aerodrome 20.7 -1.2 30.3 2nd 6.5 +0.9 1.4 1st 60.0 32.1 high 187%
    Kanagulk 18.4 -2.2 29.0 2nd 6.9 +0.2 2.5 1st 62.6 33.4 high 187%
    Longerenong 20.6 -0.4 30.6 2nd 7.2 +0.6 0.7 1st 65.2 41.0 high 159%
    Pyrenees (Ben Nevis) 14.9 -1.3 24.0 3rd 6.1 0.0 0.6 25th 82.0 51.2 high 160%
    Stawell Aerodrome 19.0 -1.2 28.5 2nd 7.9 +0.4 3.8 14th 59.8 35.3 high 169%
    Lower North (district 80)
    Charlton 22.8 -1.1 34.6 4th 8.5 +0.9 2.9 10th 49.8 23.9 high 208%
    Echuca Aerodrome 23.4 +1.2 34.7 4th 9.4 +0.8 3.9 12th 51.7 41.4 high 125%
    Kerang 24.0 +1.1 36.2 4th 10.0 +1.2 4.9 10th 44.4 36.6 high 121%
    Kyabram 22.6 +1.0 33.4 4th 9.0 +1.4 3.0 12th
    Upper North (district 81)
    Bendigo Airport 21.0 0.0 31.7 4th 8.4 +1.7 2.7 10th 72.2 39.5 high 183%
    Shepparton Airport 23.4 +1.1 33.0 4th 9.3 +1.8 3.6 10th 35.8 30.5 average 117%
    Tatura Inst Sustainable Ag 21.5 +0.3 32.5 4th 9.1 +1.5 2.6 10th 75.0 45.9 high 163%
    Yarrawonga 23.3 +0.4 31.6 4th 9.0 +1.6 2.1 12th 36.4 36.3 average 100%
    Lower Northeast (district 82)
    Benalla Airport 21.9 -0.7 28.7 4th 9.4 +2.6 1.3 2nd 66.1 36.3 high 182%
    Hunters Hill 16.9 +0.6 23.9 4th 8.8 +1.6 2.6 25th 145.0 86.6 high 167%
    Rutherglen Research 22.3 +1.2 28.3 4th 8.1 +1.9 1.3 2nd 67.0 57.0 average 118%
    Strathbogie 18.5 +0.5 24.9 4th 6.9 +1.6 0.2 10th 122.8 83.9 high 146%
    Wangaratta Aero 22.2 +0.6 29.1 4th 8.4 +2.0 1.3 2nd 74.8 47.9 high 156%
    Upper Northeast (district 83)
    Falls Creek 9.5 -0.1 15.7 4th 3.2 +1.6 -4.6 25th 377.4 126.1 highest 299%
    Mount Buller 9.8 +1.0 16.3 4th 3.2 +1.7 -4.0 25th 270.8 137.5 v high 197%
    Mount Hotham 8.7 +1.1 15.5 4th 2.3 +1.5 -5.2 25th 387.6 129.3 highest 300%
    Omeo 18.4 -0.8 26.0 4th 7.7 +2.8 2.7 25th 114.8 59.0 high 195%
    East Gippsland (district 84)
    Combienbar AWS 18.5 -0.1 29.8 3rd 9.2 +1.2 4.8 19th 186.6 92.4 v high 202%
    Gabo Island Lighthouse 18.3 +1.1 25.7 3rd 12.8 +1.6 8.3 2nd 126.8 74.1 high 171%
    Gelantipy 16.9 +0.2 25.5 3rd 7.9 +1.9 2.4 19th 102.6 70.8 high 145%
    Lakes Entrance (Eastern Beach Road) 19.2 -0.5 32.3 3rd 11.5 +2.1 6.2 2nd 105.0 60.2 high 174%
    Mallacoota 19.7 +0.5 33.8 3rd 12.2 +2.3 8.2 2nd 138.4 78.7 high 176%
    Mount Nowa Nowa 18.2 -1.1 30.1 4th 10.1 +1.0 5.4 25th 107.2 70.8 high 151%
    Orbost 20.0 0.0 32.1 3rd 11.1 +2.0 7.2 12th 111.2 61.0 v high 182%
    West Gippsland (district 85)
    Bairnsdale Airport 19.4 -0.6 29.7 3rd 10.4 +2.9 5.5 12th 87.6 59.9 high 146%
    Corner Inlet (Yanakie) 17.5   27.4 3rd 9.8   3.4 12th 120.2
    East Sale 19.6 +0.2 31.6 4th 10.5 +3.0 4.9 25th 78.6 56.6 high 139%
    East Sale Airport 19.9   32.4 3rd 10.4   4.4 2nd 87.4
    Morwell (Latrobe Valley Airport) 19.1 -0.6 30.2 4th 9.3 +1.8 2.4 2nd 90.6 69.3 high 131%
    Mount Moornapa 17.7 -1.2 29.2 4th 8.9 +0.7 4.9 25th 174.0 82.3 v high 211%
    Nilma North (Warragul) 18.4   28.4 3rd 9.3   3.6 19th 118.8
    Pound Creek 18.3 -0.6 27.9 3rd 9.6 +1.3 2.7 12th 131.8 71.0 high 186%
    Wilsons Promontory Lighthouse 16.2 +0.3 28.6 3rd 11.2 +1.2 8.3 25th
    Yarram Airport 18.8 -1.1 30.7 3rd 9.1 +1.6 1.7 12th 101.6 47.1 v high 216%
    East Central (district 86)
    Cerberus 18.4 -0.3 28.2 3rd 10.1 +1.3 3.0 12th 99.8 65.3 high 153%
    Coldstream 19.6 -0.2 28.4 4th 8.9 +2.3 2.3 12th 103.8 65.8 high 158%
    Essendon Airport 19.3 -0.2 29.3 4th 10.0 +1.6 4.6 12th 71.4 58.7 high 122%
    Ferny Creek 15.8   25.0 4th 7.8   3.3 25th 159.0
    Frankston (Ballam Park) 18.7   27.9 3rd 10.2   5.5 12th 78.8
    Melbourne (Olympic Park) 19.1   29.5 4th 10.9   6.3 12th 74.2
    Melbourne Airport 19.0 -0.5 29.0 4th 9.0 +0.5 4.3 12th 64.6 52.8 average 122%
    Moorabbin Airport 19.1 -0.3 28.7 4th 10.2 +0.9 4.7 20th 93.0 68.1 high 137%
    Rhyll 18.4 +0.3 26.4 4th 11.3 +0.7 7.6 12th 95.8 59.3 high 162%
    Scoresby Research Institute 19.5 +0.3 28.2 3rd 9.3 +0.5 3.8 12th 87.8 82.5 average 106%
    Viewbank 19.5 -1.1 29.5 4th 9.8 +0.8 3.5 12th 93.8 61.2 high 153%
    West Central (district 87)
    Avalon Airport 19.1 -1.2 29.6 3rd 9.4 +1.4 3.0 12th 64.2 47.1 high 136%
    Breakwater (Geelong Racecourse) 18.6   29.8 3rd 9.8   4.4 12th 80.6 36.8 v high 219%
    Laverton RAAF 19.2 -0.2 29.6 3rd 9.7 +1.4 3.8 12th 61.4 54.5 average 113%
    Sheoaks 17.5 -0.9 27.5 3rd 7.8 +0.6 2.1 20th 67.6 51.9 high 130%
    North Central (district 88)
    Eildon Fire Tower 17.4 +0.3 24.7 4th 8.4 +0.9 3.4 25th 110.0 48.4 v high 227%
    Lake Eildon 20.9 +0.8 28.9 4th 9.0 +1.7 3.1 19th 139.8 77.3 v high 181%
    Mangalore Airport 20.8 +0.1 30.4 4th 8.9 +1.7 2.5 10th 68.0 45.3 high 150%
    Maryborough 20.4 +0.2 30.4 3rd 8.3 +1.1 3.6 10th 41.0 48.4 average 85%
    Puckapunyal Lyon Hill (Defence) 20.3   31.0 4th 9.7   5.7 10th 70.6
    Puckapunyal West (Defence) 19.1   28.1 4th 8.6   4.6 10th 82.2
    Redesdale 20.1 +0.1 28.9 4th 7.4 +1.7 2.0 10th 63.6 51.1 average 124%
    Wallan (Kilmore Gap) 15.8 -0.5 25.0 4th 7.2 +0.3 3.1 25th 94.8 51.3 high 185%
    Western Plains (district 89)
    Ararat Prison     27.6 2nd 7.0 +0.9 2.3 12th 110.4 55.8 v high 198%
    Ballarat Aerodrome 16.9 +0.2 25.1 3rd 7.1 +0.9 1.9 12th 77.8 65.8 average 118%
    Westmere 17.4 -2.1 25.8 2nd 6.7 +1.3 1.3 10th 78.0 41.8 high 187%
    West Coast (district 90)
    Aireys Inlet 17.5 -0.8 29.4 3rd 10.0 +0.6 6.5 20th 110.8 59.1 high 187%
    Cape Nelson Lighthouse 16.6 -0.8 26.8 2nd 10.4 -0.1 6.6 5th 112.4 49.6 highest 227%
    Cape Otway Lighthouse 16.3 -0.7 28.5 3rd 10.5 +0.9 6.6 12th
    Casterton 17.7 -1.7 28.7 3rd 7.4 +0.4 0.5 7th 89.4 47.4 high 189%
    Colac (Mount Gellibrand) 16.5 -0.9 26.1 3rd 8.0 +0.4 3.6 25th 82.4 52.9 average 156%
    Dartmoor 17.8 -1.7 27.5 3rd 7.8 +0.1 2.3 20th 94.6 53.0 high 178%
    Hamilton Airport 17.1 -0.9 27.4 3rd 7.1 +0.5 3.7 6th 90.6 55.3 high 164%
    Mortlake Racecourse 17.6 -0.7 27.1 2nd 8.0 +1.6 3.0 6th 101.6 51.8 highest 196%
    Port Fairy AWS 17.2 -1.2 27.1 3rd 10.2 +0.8 6.0 20th 109.2 53.4 v high 204%
    Portland (Cashmore Airport) 16.4 -0.6 26.6 2nd 8.9 +0.6 3.7 20th 126.4 61.6 highest 205%
    Warrnambool Airport NDB 17.0 -1.1 27.4 3rd 8.3 +0.9 4.0 20th 137.2 65.1 highest 211%

    Notes

    The Monthly climate summary, generally published on the first working day of each month, lists the main features of the weather in Victoria using the most timely and accurate information available on the date of publication; it will generally not be updated. More extensive discussion of significant weather events, along with later information and data that has had greater opportunity for quality control, will be presented in the Monthly Weather Review.

    This statement has been prepared based on information available at 9 am on Monday 2 November 2020. Some checks have been made on the data, but it is possible that results will change as new information becomes available.

    In some situations, some or all of the rainfall is in the form of hail or snow. In these cases the totals given are for the water equivalent: the depth of liquid water that results from melting any frozen precipitation. There can be significant 'undercatch' of snow in strong winds, meaning the true precipitation can be higher than that reported.

    Averages for individual sites are long-term means based on observations from all available years of record, which vary widely from site to site. They are not shown for sites with less than 10 years of record, as they cannot then be calculated reliably.
    The median is sometimes more representative than the mean of long-term average rain.

    The Rank indicates how rainfall this time compares with the climate record for the site, based on the decile ranking (very low rainfall is in decile 1, low in decile 2 or 3, average in decile 4 to 7, high in decile 8 or 9 and very high is in decile 10).
    The Fraction of average shows how much rain has fallen this time as a percentage of the long-term mean.

    Where temperature area averages are mentioned, they are derived from the ACORN-SAT dataset.

    Further information

    Media
    (03) 9669 4057

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