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Australian Water Information Dictionary

root mean squared error in probability (RMSEP) score

The square error in probability (SEP) is the difference between the historical probabilities of the observed value and median of the forecast. The RMSEP score is the square root of the average SEP for a set of forecasts.

Related: root mean squared error (RMSE) score

This definition applies to:

• Glossary for Water forecasts: Seasonal streamflow
• Glossary for Water forecasts: Dynamic streamflow

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